Ukraine - Annual National Plan: Roadmap for Recovery, Reconstruction, and EU Integration

Key Chapter Title List

1. Overview of Ukraine's National Plan
2. Impact Assessment of Plan Implementation
3. Investment and Recovery Architecture
4. Public Administration Reform
5. Public Financial Management
6. Judicial System Reform
7. Anti-Corruption and Anti-Money Laundering Actions
8. Financial Market Reform
9. Public Asset Management
10. Human Capital Development
11. Business Environment Optimization
12. Decentralization and Regional Policy
13. Energy Sector Transformation
14. Transport Infrastructure Reconstruction
15. Agri-Food Sector Development

Document Introduction

The full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia in February 2022 triggered the most severe war crisis in Europe since the Balkan conflicts of the 1990s, inflicting devastating damage on Ukraine's human and physical capital. According to United Nations statistics, as of October 2023, there were 3.7 million internally displaced persons within Ukraine, approximately 14.6 million people in need of health and protection assistance, and 6.3 million citizens stranded abroad. The estimated direct losses from the war amount to 138.2 billion euros, with the total reconstruction and recovery needs reaching 440.5 billion euros. Sectors such as housing, transport, and energy have been the most severely damaged. Against this backdrop, the "Ukraine National Plan for 2024-2027" emerged as a core policy instrument for Ukraine to achieve recovery and reconstruction, modernize its transformation, and accelerate its EU accession process.

Guided by the core principles of "Build Back Better," "Fiscal Sustainability," "Inclusiveness," "Transparency," and "Accountability," the plan constructs a strategic framework covering four major dimensions: activating economic growth engine sectors, embedding cross-cutting development goals, strengthening foundational sector support, and upholding core values and principles of good governance. The plan identifies five growth-driving sectors: energy, agriculture, transport, critical raw materials, and information technology, while designating green transition, digital transformation, and SME development as cross-cutting priorities. Through a series of targeted reforms and investments, Ukraine aims to gradually align with EU rules, standards, and practices (the "EU acquis"), deepen integration with the EU single market, and ultimately converge its socio-economic development level with that of the EU.

The implementation architecture of the plan is clear, divided into three main sections: the first section outlines the plan's vision, impact, and investment recovery architecture; the second section covers specific reform programs across 15 core areas, including public administration, financial management, judiciary, anti-corruption, financial markets, human capital, business environment, decentralization, energy, transport, and other key fields; the third section focuses on the monitoring, control, and advisory processes for plan implementation. Reforms in each area specify objectives, concrete measures, responsible institutions, and timelines. Some reforms are linked to support programs from international institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, ensuring policy synergy.

Regarding macroeconomic impact, the plan forecasts economic trends for 2024-2034 based on three scenarios (baseline, moderate, and optimistic). If the plan is successfully implemented, hostilities cease, and sustained international support is secured, Ukraine's economy could recover to its 2021 level by 2028, with its economic scale expanding by 40% compared to 2021 by 2033. Successful implementation of the plan would enable Ukraine to achieve growth rates similar to those of Eastern European countries before their EU accession in the early 2000s, converging with EU living standards and income levels within less than a generation.

This plan is not only a blueprint for Ukraine's recovery from the trauma of war but also a strategic program for its transformation into a modern European state. Through a series of reforms aimed at strengthening the rule of law, combating corruption, optimizing the business environment, upgrading infrastructure, and nurturing human capital, Ukraine is committed to building a more resilient, inclusive, and competitive socio-economic system, laying a solid foundation for eventual EU membership. The implementation of the plan requires the concerted efforts of the Ukrainian government, international partners, the private sector, and civil society, while also depending on sustained international financial support and technical cooperation.