Security Council Monthly Forecast Report

Key Chapter Title List

1. Overview
2. Review: 2025 Peacebuilding Architecture Review
3. Latest Developments Since the January Forecast
4. Situation in Syria
5. Situation in South Sudan
6. United Nations Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA)
7. Situation in Sudan
8. Situation in Yemen
9. Multilateralism
10. Situation in Libya
11. Situation in the Central African Republic
12. Matters Related to the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK)

Document Introduction

This report is the Security Council's Monthly Forecast for February 2025. It focuses on the Council's core agenda for the month and key regional security dynamics globally, providing an authoritative reference for practitioners in international politics and security. In February 2025, with China holding the rotating presidency of the Security Council, it will chair an open debate themed "Upholding Multilateralism and Reforming and Improving Global Governance." UN Secretary-General António Guterres will attend to brief, making this a signature event for the month.

The report has a clear structure. It reviews the formal launch process of the 2025 Peacebuilding Architecture Review (PBAR), outlining its four evolutionary stages and core issues since 2005. It also updates the latest security developments in regions such as the Middle East, Ukraine, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo since the January forecast, including outcomes of relevant Council meetings and key points from closed consultations.

In terms of regional issue coverage, the report provides a detailed analysis of the political processes, military dynamics, and humanitarian situations in hotspot countries such as Syria, South Sudan, Sudan, Yemen, and Libya. It pays particular attention to the renewal of relevant sanction mechanisms, the execution of peacekeeping mission mandates, and the impact of regional power dynamics. Simultaneously, it systematically elaborates on the arrangements and background for topics such as preventive diplomacy in Central Asia, the work of the DPRK Sanctions Committee, and counter-terrorism sanctions on Somalia.

Based on authoritative sources such as Security Council resolution documents, Secretary-General's reports, and records of thematic briefings, the report objectively presents the consensus and differences among Security Council member states on issues including the practice of multilateralism, sanction policies, and peacekeeping operations. It offers an in-depth analytical perspective for understanding the current state and future trends of global security governance, holding significant reference value for policy formulation, academic research, and strategic analysis.