On the date in local time, the FBI confirmed that the agency is investigating the incident of "classified intelligence related to Israel being leaked," which involves plans for Israel's retaliation against Iran.

On a certain date, an account named "Middle East Observer" posted two top-secret documents on the social platform "Telegram." In addition to being marked as "Top Secret," the documents indicated that they were only for the eyes of the United States and its "Five Eyes" allies. The disclosure of this significant intelligence leak quickly caused a major uproar.

What is written in the top-secret documents? The content of the leaked files is extremely explosive, indeed deserving the title of "top-secret level." The leak reveals the Israeli military's attack plans. It is reported that these two documents were compiled based on images captured by U.S. reconnaissance satellites and other intelligence analysis, primarily detailing Israel's military preparations for attacking Iran, including adjustments to weapon deployments and conducting military exercises.

The first document is from the National Security Agency of the United States, titled "Israel: Air Force Continues Preparations for Attack on Iran, Scheduled to Conduct Second Large-Scale Exercise from [Month and Day] to [Month and Day]." The second document is from the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency under the U.S. Department of Defense, titled "Israel Defense Forces Continue Critical Ammunition Preparations and Secret Drone Activities, Likely to Launch Attack on Iran on [Month and Day]."

After Iran launched a missile attack on Israel on the specified date, Israel declared it would retaliate. These leaked documents indicate that Israel has indeed formulated a detailed action plan.

On the date, the Israeli Air Force will transport air-launched ballistic missiles and air-to-ground missiles of specific models to Ramon Air Force Base. The image provided is a satellite image of Ramon Air Force Base.

The implication is that Israel has nuclear capabilities. Notably, one document mentions, "The United States has seen no indication that Israel plans to use nuclear weapons against Iran." This statement undeniably suggests that Israel actually possesses nuclear strike capabilities, although it has never publicly acknowledged this. This leak not only reveals Israel's retaliation plans against Iran but also exposes its nuclear weapons card.

How did the leak occur? "Middle East Observer" issued a statement saying that they received the documents through anonymous private messages, unaware of the identity of the leaker or the authenticity of the leaked documents. A source confirmed the authenticity of the leak. The FBI stated that they are currently working closely with the Department of Defense and the intelligence community to investigate the matter.

There are currently three main speculations surrounding the leak incident. The first is the "insider theory." Some have pointed to government employees with access to the files as the source of the leak. The New York Times, citing U.S. officials, reported that based on past experiences with leak incidents, it is likely that the leaker is a "lower-level government official." According to Israeli media, an insider from the U.S. military said that the leaker is Ariana Tabatabai, an Iranian-American advisor to the U.S. Department of Defense, but a spokesperson for the U.S. Department of Defense denied this rumor.

The second theory is the "Hacker Theory." Some believe that Iran hacked into the U.S. government's classified servers and remotely stole the relevant documents.

The third theory is the "conspiracy theory." Some analyses suggest that this leak is a self-directed play by the United States, intentionally releasing documents to delay Israel's military retaliation against Iran, thereby avoiding any impact on the U.S. presidential election. The truth of the matter remains to be further observed.

What are the implications after the leak? The US and Israel have developed a rift. It must be said that this leak has left Israel very displeased and the US very embarrassed. On one hand, the leaked documents reveal that the US intelligence agencies have conducted extremely tight surveillance on Israel, even on what is considered a "staunch ally." On the other hand, the occurrence of the leak has also led Israel to question the US's ability to protect classified information, and the resulting trust crisis is undoubtedly going to have a negative impact on bilateral cooperation and the US-Israel relationship.

The situation in the Middle East is shrouded in mystery. The premature exposure of the "Revenge Plan" caught Israel off guard, forcing it to adjust its retaliation plans and postpone the timing of its actions. Iran will undoubtedly respond in kind, taking relevant actions in diplomatic negotiations and military deployments. The truth is still under investigation, but at this sensitive juncture, the leak has undoubtedly made the already highly tense situation in the Middle East even more complex...