Who will be awarded the crown and peacock feather of the King of Understanding?
Early morning on a month day in the United States, the results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election were announced, with Republican candidate Trump defeating Democratic candidate Harris by a significant margin.
Since the Republican Party has already secured a majority in the Senate and holds a leading advantage in the House of Representatives in this election, it means that if the Republican Party successfully takes control of the House of Representatives without any surprises, by January next year, the Republican Party will have consolidated all three branches of the U.S. government: the legislative power (Senate and House of Representatives), the judicial power (Supreme Court), and the executive power (President). Many analyses believe that Trump will become the "most powerful President in history."
The nation is stable, and it's time to reward merits. For Trump, the phase of "conquering the world" is over, and now it's time to "reward the deserving with titles and positions." While the world's attention is focused on whether Musk can secure a position, Jiuwanli provides a rational analysis of which "tough characters" might enter the "King of Understanding's cabinet."
Secretary of State: It's you again after all this circling around?
The Secretary of State, the "chief steward" responsible for U.S. foreign policy, stirred up quite a few waves during Trump's first term. Trump and his first Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, had significant personality clashes and disagreements, leading to Trump publicly "executing" Tillerson on Twitter. Mike Pompeo, who succeeded as Secretary of State, then transformed into one of the most important advocates of Trump's "America First" principle, becoming a "stabilizer" in the White House's foreign policy. With this loyalty and rapport, Pompeo not only lasted until the end but also stands a good chance of continuing as Secretary of State if Trump makes a comeback.
In addition to Pompeo, other leading candidates for the position include: former U.S. Ambassador to Japan William Hagerty, former National Security Advisor Robert O'Brien, and Florida Congressman Marco Antonio Rubio, who actively pledged allegiance to Trump. Overall, these individuals share a common label—China hawks.
Defense Minister: It's not easy to rise and fall.
During Trump's first term, the position of Secretary of Defense was like a revolving door. The first Secretary, James Mattis, and his successor, Mark Esper, both left their posts either voluntarily or involuntarily due to disagreements with Trump over issues such as troop withdrawals from Afghanistan and Syria. Subsequently, Christopher Miller was hastily appointed as the Acting Secretary of Defense. Miller was cautious and his goal was not to "serve well for three years" but to "survive for three months." Ultimately, he safely navigated his role and gained Trump's favor. Therefore, in this round of competition for the position of Secretary of Defense, Miller is considered the most likely candidate.
Other popular candidates include Florida Congressman Mike Waltz and Senator Tom Cotton, and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, mentioned earlier, may also be eyeing the position.
Finance Minister: The pressure of competition is intense.
In the year, Trump selected Steven Mnuchin to serve as the Treasury Secretary, a choice not initially favored by the public. However, this "strong-willed" banker, under Trump's high-pressure standards, miraculously survived the entire term. This was largely due to his extreme loyalty to Trump: domestically, he implemented tax cuts and relaxed financial regulations; internationally, he actively wielded the stick of tariffs. He was dutiful and loyal, ultimately retiring with merit.
However, this time Trump's election will face new negotiations on the debt ceiling, as well as the renewal and modification of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, making the position a challenging one to take. The two candidates with the highest current support are John Paulson and Scott Bessent, each with their own strengths and equally matched. Paulson is a legend in the hedge fund world, often referred to as a perennial figure in the financial sector. His economic stance aligns closely with Trump's "America First" ideology, making him an ideal candidate for Trump. Bessent, on the other hand, is a versatile talent in the financial world and has served as an economic advisor to Trump. In a recent interview, he strongly defended Trump's dollar and tariff policies, actively demonstrating his loyalty to Trump.
In addition to these two "powerhouse" candidates, well-known figures such as Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, Kevin Hassett, former Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, and Steve Bannon, former advisor to Trump, are also waiting in the wings.
Attorney General: Life and death are the most critical!
The Attorney General is the biggest fruit of Trump's recent victory, and to a certain extent, the key to determining the fate of Trump and his perceived "enemies." This is because the Attorney General has the authority to decide whether to terminate serious criminal cases involving Trump, and in the case of the "hush money" scandal, can deliberately stall the proceedings, indefinitely postponing the case.
In August, Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate was raided. Additionally, Trump is highly likely to fulfill his previous public promises and use the Department of Justice to retaliate against what he considers his "enemies." With such a sharp position, how could Trump be without his confidants? Thus, the "Heng Ha Er Jiang" duo, John Ratcliffe and Mike Lee, gradually emerged. Ratcliffe served as the Director of National Intelligence during Trump's final year in office and was a staunch supporter of Trump. Particularly during his tenure as Director of National Intelligence, Ratcliffe often engaged in public spats with Democratic figures, politicizing the neutral role of the Director of National Intelligence to win Trump's favor. Mike Lee had explicitly refused to support Trump during the 2020 election but later voluntarily pledged allegiance, becoming a staunch ally of Trump. He actively spread conspiracy theories and nearly succeeded in helping Trump overturn the results of his 2020 election defeat.
Trump's first criterion for selecting personnel: loyalty. The above individuals are merely predictions for some key positions within the "Trump Cabinet." Based on the first term, the primary criterion for Trump, as a "domineering CEO," in selecting and employing people is: to be a loyal and fierce follower—not only must one be loyal, but also sharp-fanged.
After experiencing numerous betrayals, deceptions, and the combined efforts of the Democratic and Republican establishments to undermine him, Trump, like an aging feudal monarch, has come to value loyalty above all else, even making it the sole criterion for selecting his subordinates. Figures like Pence, who have a history of betrayal, will never again be considered by Trump. Only those who are absolutely loyal and unwaveringly execute Trump's ideas and orders will have the opportunity to rise in rank and prosper. As for who "The King of Understanding" will choose as his right-hand men during his second term, we will have to wait and see.