26日,以色列空袭伊朗境内多个军事目标,由于未袭击伊朗的石油设施,周一(28日)早盘,国际油价大幅下跌,地缘政治风险溢价的下降也使得国际现货黄金出现下跌。Spot gold prices saw a sharp drop in early Monday trading, breaking below the $ per ounce mark and currently hovering around $ per ounce.

在刚刚过去的周末,以色列发动了对伊朗的袭击,不过分析认为,此次袭击表现较为克制,避开了伊朗的石油以及核基础设施,并未造成能源供应中断。In the early Asian trading session, international oil prices fell accordingly.。截至周一早上8点半,12月交割的WTI原油期货下跌约4.22%,跌破每桶70美元,较上一个交易日的收盘价每桶71.78美元,下跌超3美元。同一时间点,12月交割的伦敦布伦特原油期货下跌也超过4%,在每桶约72美元交易。
10月初,油价曾呈现出上涨势头,主要由于市场担心以色列对伊朗的报复行动,可能会针对当地的石油设施,并导致中东地区冲突升级。但此次以色列的袭击目标针对了伊朗的防空以及军事基础设施,袭击规模较小,因此有专家认为中东地区的紧张局势不会显著升级。

全球最大的石油掉期交易做市商Onyx的分析认为,此次以色列的报复行动力度不大。研究公司,MST Marquee认为此次打击行动较为有限,让市场开始燃起了中东局势可能会缓和的希望。另有基础设施资本顾问的分析认为,预计油价将回到一个合理的价格区间,考虑到包括冬季供暖和旅游的需求,预计油价可能会徘徊在每桶75到95美元的区间。
但市场上也有另一派观点,美国普莱斯期货集团警告称,市场对波斯湾地区石油供应的担忧并没有结束。虽然眼下的直接威胁暂时解除了,但是不认为此次袭击就能结束双方的敌对状态,认为即使伊朗表示不会给出回应,但预计伊朗可能会试图让代理人重新集结,并以某种方式给出反应。

In addition to the crude oil market, the decline in geopolitical risk premiums also led to a drop in international spot gold during the Monday (month-day) morning session.。近期国际金价在高位震荡,上周也创下了历史新高,Spot gold prices saw a sharp drop in early Monday trading, breaking below the $ per ounce mark and currently hovering around $ per ounce.
本周,市场的目光聚焦在了美国的关键经济数据上,包括当地时间周三将公布的美国三季度GDP,以及周五公布的非农就业数据。If economic data exceeds expectations, it may boost the US dollar, leading to a decline in gold prices.


Title: "Gold and Oil Prices Plummet!"

Source: CCTV Finance

Editor: Ding Baoxiu

Proofreading: Wei Yuan

Editor: Song Fangcan

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Author: Emma

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