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Global Briefing April 29

Pentagon Hearing Puts $25B Price Tag on Iran War

The Pentagon told the House Armed Services Committee that Operation Epic Fury has cost roughly $25 billion as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth clashed with Democrats. Ukrainian drones hit the Transneft Perm pipeline-dispatch hub 1,500 km from the front, with same-day strikes on Orsk and a Voronezh airbase Mi-28/Mi-17 pair.

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us · United States

Trump Opens Iran War and Midterm Campaigns

Trump entered the ninth night of renewed strikes on Iran with US service members dead, gasoline back at $4 and a $1.15tn defence bill blocked in the Senate. He then used a primetime address to claim China obtained 220m voter files, though his own declassified documents showed no altered votes. TSMC promised another $100bn for US fabs as the White House searched for an economic counter-story.

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gb · United Kingdom

Andy Burnham Promises Circuit Breaker for UK State

Andy Burnham entered Downing Street promising a ten-year “circuit breaker” after Britain’s seventh change of prime minister since 2016. He scrapped a £1.8bn digital-ID plan and ordered cost-of-living relief, but debt exceeds 95% of GDP and the IMF says fiscal room is tight. An official finding that MI5 misled three courts made his promise to restore public trust more than campaign rhetoric.

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fr · France

Macron Ties France to Germany in Nuclear Deterrence Pact

Macron used his final Bastille week to place German forces inside a French nuclear exercise and offer Berlin co-production of SAMP/T NG, even as the common tank project lost its tank. Mélenchon threatened to break the arrangement and Elon Musk called Marine Le Pen France’s “last hope.” At home, Parliament passed assisted dying 291–241 while a pesticide amendment put a 78-article farm bill at risk.

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de · Germany

Merz Builds Stronger Security State Before AfD Rise

Germany raised its threat level from “abstract” to “high” as Russian influence operations favoured the AfD and an Iranian newspaper named Friedrich Merz on a revenge list. Berlin is preparing active powers for its intelligence agencies while joining a French nuclear exercise and licensing €2.5bn of arms for Ukraine. With the AfD above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt, the powers built for today’s threats could belong to tomorrow’s government.

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ua · Ukraine

Zelensky Dismisses Fedorov Amid Ukraine War Ministry Crisis

Zelensky removed Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov after his feud with Oleksandr Syrskyi became unworkable, drawing protests in at least 16 cities and an ultimatum for 24 July. The rupture came as 145 Russian troops infiltrated Kostiantynivka, a Ukrainian drone destroyed a Tu-95 at Engels-2, and Russian missiles killed 10 people aboard the grain carrier Golden Leo.

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tr · Turkey

Turkey's Montreux Convention Outlasts Erdoğan's Emergency Politics

Turkey marked 90 years of the Montreux Convention by destroying an explosive drone that washed ashore in Istanbul, proof that control of the straits cannot contain every Black Sea risk. The anniversary followed a decade since the failed coup, as Özgür Özel prepared a breakaway party and another CHP mayor was detained. Abroad, Ankara pursued influence in Ukraine and Syria without choosing a camp.

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Day in Review

All Events

Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

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us99

DOJ files mirror-selfie evidence and target list as Cole Allen pleads not guilty to attempting to assassinate Trump at Correspondents' dinner

Cole Tomas Allen, 31, has pleaded not guilty to charges including attempting to assassinate President Donald Trump after rushing the Terrace Level security checkpoint at the White House Correspondents' Association dinner on April 25 with a raised pump-action shotgun. The Department of Justice filed a memorandum on Wednesday seeking pretrial detention; the filing includes a hotel-room mirror selfie taken about 30 minutes before the attack, after which Allen searched live media coverage of Trump's arrival, sent prescheduled emails containing an "Apology and Explanation" attachment naming targets "from highest-ranking to lowest", and discarded a long black coat that had concealed the shotgun. A Secret Service agent was wounded but not seriously injured. Allen carried a Mossberg 12-gauge pump-action shotgun, a Rock Island Armory 1911 .38-caliber semiautomatic with 10 rounds and two extra magazines, two knives, four daggers, pliers and wire cutters. He travelled by train from Torrance, California to Chicago and on to Washington starting April 21. He faces life in prison if convicted.

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Cole Tomas Allen, 31, has pleaded not guilty to charges including attempting to assassinate President Donald Trump after rushing the Terrace Level security checkpoint at the White House Correspondents' Association dinner on April 25 with a raised pump-action shotgun. The Department of Justice filed a memorandum on Wednesday seeking pretrial detention; the filing includes a hotel-room mirror selfie taken about 30 minutes before the attack, after which Allen searched live media coverage of Trump's arrival, sent prescheduled emails containing an "Apology and Explanation" attachment naming targets "from highest-ranking to lowest", and discarded a long black coat that had concealed the shotgun. A Secret Service agent was wounded but not seriously injured. Allen carried a Mossberg 12-gauge pump-action shotgun, a Rock Island Armory 1911 .38-caliber semiautomatic with 10 rounds and two extra magazines, two knives, four daggers, pliers and wire cutters. He travelled by train from Torrance, California to Chicago and on to Washington starting April 21. He faces life in prison if convicted.

fr95

Tuareg-JNIM offensive captures Kidal and kills Mali defense minister Sadio Camara as France urges nationals to leave

A Tuareg-led rebel offensive coordinated by the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) with al-Qaeda-linked JNIM militants captured the strategic northern city of Kidal and killed Defense Minister Sadio Camara in a suicide car bombing at his home in the Kati garrison town near Bamako on Saturday. France urged its nationals to leave Mali "as soon as possible" on Wednesday and warned against all travel; the United Kingdom issued a similar advisory. FLA spokesman Mohamed Elmaouloud Ramadane, in Paris to meet French security and defence officials, told AFP the rebels' "objective" is the permanent withdrawal of Russia's Africa Corps from Mali, and said the FLA next intends to take Gao, Timbuktu and Menaka. Russian fighters retreated from Kidal in trucks via Anefis under Algerian-mediated escort; Russia's Defence Ministry said its units had "fought for more than 24 hours" and called the withdrawal a Malian government decision. Reuters reported Mali's army has since retaken Menaka after the local ISSP affiliate retreated. Camara's funeral is set for Thursday at 10am (09:00 GMT). The offensive is the largest coordinated assault in Mali in nearly 15 years and the most serious challenge to junta rule since the 2020 coup that brought General Assimi Goita to power.

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A Tuareg-led rebel offensive coordinated by the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) with al-Qaeda-linked JNIM militants captured the strategic northern city of Kidal and killed Defense Minister Sadio Camara in a suicide car bombing at his home in the Kati garrison town near Bamako on Saturday. France urged its nationals to leave Mali "as soon as possible" on Wednesday and warned against all travel; the United Kingdom issued a similar advisory. FLA spokesman Mohamed Elmaouloud Ramadane, in Paris to meet French security and defence officials, told AFP the rebels' "objective" is the permanent withdrawal of Russia's Africa Corps from Mali, and said the FLA next intends to take Gao, Timbuktu and Menaka. Russian fighters retreated from Kidal in trucks via Anefis under Algerian-mediated escort; Russia's Defence Ministry said its units had "fought for more than 24 hours" and called the withdrawal a Malian government decision. Reuters reported Mali's army has since retaken Menaka after the local ISSP affiliate retreated. Camara's funeral is set for Thursday at 10am (09:00 GMT). The offensive is the largest coordinated assault in Mali in nearly 15 years and the most serious challenge to junta rule since the 2020 coup that brought General Assimi Goita to power.

us95

Hegseth clashes with Democrats in first public hearing on Iran war costs and strategy

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sparred with Democratic lawmakers during a nearly six-hour House hearing on Wednesday, his first public questioning since the Iran war began. The Pentagon disclosed the conflict has cost $25 billion so far, as Hegseth labeled critics 'reckless, feckless and defeatist.'

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Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth sparred with Democratic lawmakers during a nearly six-hour House hearing on Wednesday, his first public questioning since the Iran war began. The Pentagon disclosed the conflict has cost $25 billion so far, as Hegseth labeled critics 'reckless, feckless and defeatist.'

ua95

Ukraine hits Transneft pipeline hub 1,500 km from front and Mi-28 + Mi-17 in Voronezh as Zelensky escalates 'long-range sanctions'

Ukrainian drone units hit the Transneft Perm linear production-dispatch station in Russia's Perm Krai on April 29, more than 1,500 km from the front line, igniting multiple oil storage tanks in what local witnesses described as "oil rain" over Perm; satellite imagery confirmed at least two tanks on fire. Same-day strikes hit the Orsk oil refinery and a machine-building plant in Orenburg Oblast. A joint operation by elite Ukrainian drone units -- the 429th Separate Brigade "Achilles" and the 43rd Separate Artillery Brigade -- coordinating with the SBU's Alpha Special Operations Center destroyed a Russian Mi-28 attack helicopter and a Mi-17 transport helicopter at a forward field airstrip in Voronezh Oblast some 150 km from the front, killing at least one maintenance specialist. Ukrainian sea drones struck an empty Cameroon-flagged shadow-fleet tanker drifting off Russia's Black Sea coast as it waited for an at-sea oil rendezvous, with two kamikaze drones hitting the engine room and propeller area, according to Ukraine's General Staff. President Volodymyr Zelensky framed the day's operations as a new stage of "long-range sanctions" against Russia's war capacity.

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Ukrainian drone units hit the Transneft Perm linear production-dispatch station in Russia's Perm Krai on April 29, more than 1,500 km from the front line, igniting multiple oil storage tanks in what local witnesses described as "oil rain" over Perm; satellite imagery confirmed at least two tanks on fire. Same-day strikes hit the Orsk oil refinery and a machine-building plant in Orenburg Oblast. A joint operation by elite Ukrainian drone units -- the 429th Separate Brigade "Achilles" and the 43rd Separate Artillery Brigade -- coordinating with the SBU's Alpha Special Operations Center destroyed a Russian Mi-28 attack helicopter and a Mi-17 transport helicopter at a forward field airstrip in Voronezh Oblast some 150 km from the front, killing at least one maintenance specialist. Ukrainian sea drones struck an empty Cameroon-flagged shadow-fleet tanker drifting off Russia's Black Sea coast as it waited for an at-sea oil rendezvous, with two kamikaze drones hitting the engine room and propeller area, according to Ukraine's General Staff. President Volodymyr Zelensky framed the day's operations as a new stage of "long-range sanctions" against Russia's war capacity.

de95

German cabinet approves 2027 draft budget with EUR 110.8 bn core borrowing and EUR 105.8 bn defence allocation, citing Iran war

The German cabinet on April 29, 2026 approved the 2027 budget framework presented by Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD), with core spending of EUR 543.3 billion and net new core-budget borrowing of EUR 110.8 billion; counting credit-financed special funds for defence and infrastructure raises planned new borrowing to EUR 196.5 billion. Defence rises from EUR 100.9 billion in 2025 to EUR 105.8 billion in 2027, reaching EUR 179.9 billion -- 3.1 percent of GDP -- by 2030. The Labour Ministry budget exceeds EUR 200 billion for the first time at EUR 201.2 billion. Funding gaps remain: roughly EUR 29 billion in 2028 and EUR 78.7 billion of debt-service costs in 2030, more than one in eight federal euros. Around EUR 4 billion per year in structural savings is planned alongside new sugar, plastic, alcohol and tobacco taxes. Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) defended the higher defence spending by citing the Iran war; 150 development NGOs warned against a roughly EUR 600 million BMZ cut, while the Linke and other opposition voices argued cuts fall on the public except in defence. The ifo Employment Barometer for service providers fell to its lowest reading since May 2020, attributed in part to the prolonged Strait of Hormuz blockade.

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The German cabinet on April 29, 2026 approved the 2027 budget framework presented by Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD), with core spending of EUR 543.3 billion and net new core-budget borrowing of EUR 110.8 billion; counting credit-financed special funds for defence and infrastructure raises planned new borrowing to EUR 196.5 billion. Defence rises from EUR 100.9 billion in 2025 to EUR 105.8 billion in 2027, reaching EUR 179.9 billion -- 3.1 percent of GDP -- by 2030. The Labour Ministry budget exceeds EUR 200 billion for the first time at EUR 201.2 billion. Funding gaps remain: roughly EUR 29 billion in 2028 and EUR 78.7 billion of debt-service costs in 2030, more than one in eight federal euros. Around EUR 4 billion per year in structural savings is planned alongside new sugar, plastic, alcohol and tobacco taxes. Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) defended the higher defence spending by citing the Iran war; 150 development NGOs warned against a roughly EUR 600 million BMZ cut, while the Linke and other opposition voices argued cuts fall on the public except in defence. The ifo Employment Barometer for service providers fell to its lowest reading since May 2020, attributed in part to the prolonged Strait of Hormuz blockade.

gb93

Two Jewish men stabbed in Golders Green; Met designates terrorist incident, suspect detained by police and Shomrim volunteers

Two Jewish men aged 34 and 76 were stabbed in Golders Green, north London, on the morning of April 29, 2026; the Metropolitan Police designated the attack a terrorist incident later the same day. The 45-year-old suspect, who Met Police Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley said had "a history of serious violence and mental health issues", was arrested on suspicion of attempted murder after being Tasered to the ground. He was detained by unarmed Met officers working with volunteers from Shomrim, the Jewish community security group founded in 2008 with around 50 24/7 volunteers across north London; Shomrim member Yonathan Elkouby blocked the suspect with his car before helping officers restrain him. A local pizza-shop worker, Tariq Aziz, helped the 76-year-old victim before officers arrived. Both victims are in stable condition. Police responded at 11:16 BST on Highfield Avenue, off Golders Green Road. The attack came after a recent string of arson attacks against Jewish property, including the destruction of Hatzola ambulances. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood said the government would "strain every sinew" to protect the Jewish community and announced enhanced police presence.

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Two Jewish men aged 34 and 76 were stabbed in Golders Green, north London, on the morning of April 29, 2026; the Metropolitan Police designated the attack a terrorist incident later the same day. The 45-year-old suspect, who Met Police Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley said had "a history of serious violence and mental health issues", was arrested on suspicion of attempted murder after being Tasered to the ground. He was detained by unarmed Met officers working with volunteers from Shomrim, the Jewish community security group founded in 2008 with around 50 24/7 volunteers across north London; Shomrim member Yonathan Elkouby blocked the suspect with his car before helping officers restrain him. A local pizza-shop worker, Tariq Aziz, helped the 76-year-old victim before officers arrived. Both victims are in stable condition. Police responded at 11:16 BST on Highfield Avenue, off Golders Green Road. The attack came after a recent string of arson attacks against Jewish property, including the destruction of Hatzola ambulances. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood said the government would "strain every sinew" to protect the Jewish community and announced enhanced police presence.

ua92

Ukrainian naval drones strike Russian FSB boats guarding Kerch Bridge; Sweden seizes shadow fleet ship; US pledges $100M for Chornobyl repairs

Ukrainian Navy drones hit Russian FSB boats near the Kerch Bridge early on April 30. Sweden seized the vessel Caffa, suspected of illegally exporting goods from occupied Crimea. The US announced $100 million for emergency repairs at the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant.

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Ukrainian Navy drones hit Russian FSB boats near the Kerch Bridge early on April 30. Sweden seized the vessel Caffa, suspected of illegally exporting goods from occupied Crimea. The US announced $100 million for emergency repairs at the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant.

ua90

Zelensky prioritizes middle-range strikes up to 150 km, approves new long-range operations targeting Russian oil and logistics

President Volodymyr Zelensky said middle-range strikes at depths of 120-150 km are a top priority for the coming months, and he approved new long-range operations to impose diplomacy on Russia by targeting its oil industry, military logistics, and defense production.

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President Volodymyr Zelensky said middle-range strikes at depths of 120-150 km are a top priority for the coming months, and he approved new long-range operations to impose diplomacy on Russia by targeting its oil industry, military logistics, and defense production.

gb89

UK Biobank health data of 500,000 volunteers continues to appear for sale on Alibaba; minister warns of further leaks

Science minister Patrick Vallance told the House of Lords that additional listings of UK Biobank data have appeared on Alibaba since the breach was first reported, and the government expects further leaks. The data, belonging to 500,000 volunteers, is de-identified but carries a risk of re-identification.

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Science minister Patrick Vallance told the House of Lords that additional listings of UK Biobank data have appeared on Alibaba since the breach was first reported, and the government expects further leaks. The data, belonging to 500,000 volunteers, is de-identified but carries a risk of re-identification.

us88

Trump approval rating falls to 34%, lowest of term, as Reuters/Ipsos poll shows discontent over Iran war and cost of living

President Donald Trump's approval rating dropped to 34% in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, the lowest of his current term, as Americans expressed growing dissatisfaction with his handling of the cost of living and the war with Iran.

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President Donald Trump's approval rating dropped to 34% in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, the lowest of his current term, as Americans expressed growing dissatisfaction with his handling of the cost of living and the war with Iran.