The man is back!
那个男人回来了!
就在刚刚,美国媒体实时测算显示,2024年美国大选结局已定,特朗普率先获得270张选举人票,成功击败哈里斯,赢得第60届美国总统选举。如无意外,这个让支持者“上头”、让盟友“心碎”、让世界“震颤”的男人,将从2025年1月起重新执掌白宫。
On the early morning of a certain month in the United States, Trump delivered a speech to his supporters at a rally. The election process was fraught with chaos. If one word were to summarize the characteristics of the 2020 U.S. election, it would undoubtedly be: chaos.
Changing leaders at the last moment, full of twists and turns. This election was originally supposed to be a rematch between the "two old men," Biden and Trump. However, during the "Biden-Trump debate" on a certain day in Eastern Time, Biden's performance was abysmal. Under pressure from party leaders, Biden ultimately had no choice but to withdraw in defeat. Harris, with her sudden surge in popularity, quickly took over, bypassing the primaries and forcefully entering the arena of the two major parties' showdown.
Political violence, escalating. The most dramatic moment in the US election farce this year was undoubtedly the shooting incident that occurred on a certain day when Trump was holding a campaign rally in Pennsylvania. Over the past few months, Trump has at least faced 10 "failed assassination attempts," and a campaign office of Harris's team in Arizona was also shot and vandalized.
According to statistics, the United States experienced multiple political violence incidents in a single year. The latest poll by American media shows that nearly 80% of voters are concerned about more violence occurring after the election. On the 10th, attorneys general from 50 U.S. states and 5 U.S. territories issued a joint statement, calling for a "peaceful transfer of power" after the election.
The most expensive election, a game for the rich. Every election year, the American political arena stages a series of high-stakes gambles. According to estimates, the 2024 U.S. presidential election will cost over a billion dollars, with more than 20,000 political groups participating in the spending spree. This election will become the "most expensive presidential election" in American history. Elon Musk made a high-profile entry, becoming Trump's "richest political ally," donating $40 million to him. Harris's "moneybags" Bill Gates was not to be outdone, contributing $10 million at a time.
This "free" and "democratic" spectacle has long become an "exclusive game" for the wealthy class. The two parties tear into each other, taking turns in the limelight. During the campaign, the candidates of both parties abandon decorum and engage in personal attacks. Trump calls Harris "weak," "lazy," "stupid to the point of idiocy," and "the worst person ever." Harris counters that Trump "cannot think" and "is a fascist."
Recently, Biden openly referred to Trump's supporters as "trash," while Trump responded with a clever move, donning an orange vest worn by sanitation workers and riding in a garbage truck to the campaign rally site, showcasing his ingenuity.
"Accidents" keep happening, and frequent incidents occur. Ahead of the election, voting stations in many parts of the United States have experienced "emergency situations" one after another. Since the date, voters in Kentucky, Arkansas, and other states have complained that while they attempted to vote for Trump, the machines at the voting stations automatically selected Harris. On the date, Pennsylvania was exposed to a large number of fake voter registrations, with over suspicious registration forms. On the date, ballot boxes were set on fire in Washington State, Oregon, and other places, destroying hundreds of ballots. These so-called "emergency situations" further highlight the chaos of the 2020 U.S. election.
Where did he win over her? In this year's U.S. presidential election, the two major parties' polling numbers alternated in the lead, making the race extremely close. Trump's eventual victory was largely due to his campaign strategy and policy propositions. His economic policies were more radical. Currently, the most pressing issue for American citizens is undoubtedly the economy. Compared to Harris, Trump's economic propositions were more "radical and wild," and he played the card of appealing to voters to perfection.
He claims that to protect domestic industries, bring manufacturing back to the United States, and reduce America's "trade dependence" on other countries, he will impose a "global benchmark tariff" of at least % on imported products. At the same time, he advocates for a return to reliance on traditional energy, easing industry regulations, and reducing the tax rate for large corporations and the wealthy from % to %. These policy proposals lead many people to believe that Trump is the candidate who can turn the crisis around.
In contrast, Harris's statements are not as clear and direct as Trump's, only mentioning vague promises like reducing the cost of living for the public after taking office, which makes voters feel she is "dishonest" and "unreliable." Her diplomatic stance is also more capricious. Maintaining a tough stance in foreign affairs and adhering to the "America First" policy has long been Trump's "calling card."
During his first term, the Trump administration raised the banner of "America First" and implemented a series of trade protectionist measures, withdrawing from agreements and organizations at the slightest disagreement. During this year's election campaign, he even stated that he would increase "protection fees" from allies. Although the "America First" policy direction severely damaged America's international image and disrupted the multilateral order, it provided ample emotional value to ordinary citizens domestically.
In contrast, Harris chose to reiterate old themes, emphasizing the need to strengthen alliances and jointly address global challenges. However, the Biden administration's handling of issues such as Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine has been unfavorable, leading some voters to question Harris' leadership abilities. There are numerous criticisms suggesting that Harris' policies are "too weak" and "unable to effectively protect American interests."
Facing immigration with greater toughness. Immigration has always been a hot-button issue in American politics. Trump's consistent tough stance on immigration has solidified his support base among conservative voters. At a campaign rally in New York on a certain date, Trump reiterated that if elected, he would carry out large-scale deportations of illegal immigrants to "save the occupied American cities and towns."
In contrast, Harris advocates for reforming the immigration system to provide legal status for illegal immigrants. This relatively moderate stance has been criticized by conservative voters as "ignoring national security and interests." Her electoral performance has been more impressive. Trump has a precise voter strategy and excels at sensationalizing controversial topics to attract attention. He once hinted that he would release the "Epstein" case list and the Kennedy assassination files after winning the election, successfully increasing his media exposure.
Of course, "teammates" also keep delivering divine assists. For example, running mate Vance made a striking performance in the vice presidential debate, and capital tycoon Musk almost posts on social media every day to express loyalty. In contrast, Harris not only lacks sufficient "star aura," but also performs poorly in campaign rallies and news interviews. Polls show that one-third of American voters are unclear about her ideas and plans for governance.
What will happen when he takes office? With the election settled, the United States is about to enter the "King of Understanding Era." He is coming, will the world be better? This question may be difficult to answer in the short term, but some trends seem to have already emerged. How will American politics change? Polarization and division will become more severe. Around the controversy of election fraud, both sides will definitely argue, and even a "full-scale brawl" might occur, a repeat of the Capitol Hill riot is not out of the question.
Trump has always believed that he was subjected to a "political persecution" by the Democratic Party, so it is inevitable that he will seek retribution against the Democrats after his victory. Some media have lamented that an "internal political war" in the United States is about to begin. During the election campaign, Trump stated that he would overturn the Democratic Party's "old systems" in areas such as climate, immigration, tariffs, and healthcare. It is expected that the struggle between the two parties in these areas will become even more intense in the future.
Against this backdrop, the racial, cultural, and ideological divisions within the United States are bound to escalate. What about the two conflicts? "The King of Understanding" may not truly understand. On the issue of Russia and Ukraine, Trump has repeatedly questioned the necessity of aid to Ukraine and has often claimed that "the conflict between Russia and Ukraine could be resolved within hours," appearing very confident. On the issue of the Israel-Palestine conflict, Trump has been a staunch supporter of Israel, believing himself to be in possession of the truth on Middle East matters.
But those with clear vision understand that the prolonged nature of both conflicts ultimately stems from the long-term fermentation of complex issues, making them difficult to resolve quickly through simple ideas or direct means. U.S. inaction or misguided actions could backfire and exacerbate tensions. How should U.S.-China relations be managed? It is hoped that the U.S. can see clearly. During his first term as president, Trump adopted a tough stance on China and implemented a series of unreasonable and unfair "maximum pressure" policies.
During this election campaign, Trump also repeatedly threatened to impose higher tariffs on Chinese goods. But people around the world can see clearly that containment and suppression should not be the way for major powers to interact, nor can they stop China's rise. Blindly pursuing hegemony, arrogance, and bullying will only lead to increasing internal division within the United States and further deterioration of its external image.
The man has returned, but it remains to be seen if he has become more mature. "The Era of the Know-It-All," what changes will the United States and the world face? Let's wait and see.