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Two Wars Move Toward Washington Mediation as AI Race Shifts
Russia's spring offensive is at peak intensity but Russian forces are 'expending resources rather than accumulating them', Joint Forces spokesman Viktor Trehubov said, as Zelenskyy sent NSDC Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet US envoys Witkoff and Kushner. Sixty days into the US-Israeli war on Iran, Trump announced a Hormuz operation on May 4 and abandoned it May 5; Brent fell 3.5 percent to 97.5 dollars a barrel after a US one-page memo reached Tehran via Pakistan. The same day DeepSeek shipped V4 tuned to Huawei GPUs, and Anthropic warned an AI model could fully train its successor by 2028.
Trump Can't End Iran War, So He Changes Subject
This was the week the Iran war stopped being a foreign-policy story for Americans and became a domestic one: inflation hit a three-year high of 4.2%, petrol is up 39% since the fighting began, and a hundred days in the average household is $750 poorer. The economy is somehow still adding jobs. But unable to end the war that is driving the prices, the president spent the week fighting on every other front instead — his own last election, naturalised citizens, China, and the spy law that briefs him each morning.
Weekly briefBritain Runs Out of Money for Defence and Order
John Healey's resignation as defence secretary was not an ordinary reshuffle: he walked out accusing Keir Starmer and the Treasury of refusing to pay for Britain's defence at the most dangerous moment since the Cold War, the week the entire fleet of attack submarines sat in dock. And as the state struggled to fund the things that keep a country safe abroad, it was visibly losing its grip on order at home — the Henry Nowak murder, riots in Belfast, a stabbing in a Manchester school. A government is meant to be able to do both. This one, this week, could do neither.
Weekly briefLyhanna Murder Puts French State on Trial
The killing of 11-year-old Lyhanna did what no ordinary political crisis had managed: it put the French state itself in the dock. Her suspected killer had been accused of raping a 10-year-old the previous August and was never questioned. More than 60,000 people marched; the justice minister apologised and ordered a review of 70,000 abuse cases while refusing to resign; the far right demanded his head. Abroad, France was helping lead the diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine. At home, it could not protect a child it had been warned about.
Weekly briefMerz Bets Germany's Future on Autonomy as US Pulls 5,000 Troops
Friedrich Merz has made his choice: a Germany less dependent on an America it no longer trusts. This week he absorbed the loss of 5,000 US troops pulled out over his criticism of the Iran war, killed the €100bn FCAS fighter jet with France, and offered Ukraine a seat inside the EU. It is a coherent bet on strategic autonomy. The catch is that the costs are arriving at home — a suspected extremist arson that blacked out 40,000 homes, and a record 85,837 politically motivated crimes — before the autonomy does.
Weekly briefUkraine Offers to Freeze War by Escalating Strikes
Ukraine spent the week doing two things that only look contradictory: offering to freeze the war and fighting it harder than ever. Zelenskyy signalled he would accept halting the conflict along the current front line, and Europe lined up behind him. At the same time his long-range drones set Russia's fuel system alight, spreading petrol shortages to 25 regions. The escalation is not at odds with the peace offer — it is what gives the offer its weight. Whether Moscow ever picks it up depends less on the talks than on how dry Russia's pumps run.
Weekly briefErdoğan Declares Turkey a 'Playmaker' at Security Conference
Erdoğan spent the week looking indispensable to the world — mediating between Washington and Tehran, branding Turkey a regional 'playmaker', and savaging Netanyahu over Gaza. It is real influence, and it has a domestic use. The more the West needs Ankara, the freer his hand at home, where he has jailed his strongest rival and hundreds of opposition officials and will host NATO's leaders next month behind 40,000 security personnel. The same assertiveness that makes Turkey useful to Washington also had its jets harassing European defence ministers off Cyprus.
Weekly briefAll Events
Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.
ua97Russia's spring-summer offensive is at peak intensity with forces 'expending resources rather than accumulating', Ukrainian command says
Russian forces have entered the active phase of their spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with the campaign already at peak intensity and Russian troops 'not accumulating resources but rather expending them', Viktor Trehubov, head of the communications department of Ukraine's Joint Forces, said on the national 24/7 newscast cited by Ukrinform. Trehubov said armoured-vehicle use remains minimal because added protection layers only invite one more drone, and that a battlefield saturated with drones is shifting an increasing share of work to ground robotic systems, with warm, dry weather aiding strike activity.
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Russia's spring-summer offensive is at peak intensity with forces 'expending resources rather than accumulating', Ukrainian command says
Russian forces have entered the active phase of their spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with the campaign already at peak intensity and Russian troops 'not accumulating resources but rather expending them', Viktor Trehubov, head of the communications department of Ukraine's Joint Forces, said on the national 24/7 newscast cited by Ukrinform. Trehubov said armoured-vehicle use remains minimal because added protection layers only invite one more drone, and that a battlefield saturated with drones is shifting an increasing share of work to ground robotic systems, with warm, dry weather aiding strike activity.
Russian forces have entered the active phase of their spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with the campaign already at peak intensity and Russian troops 'not accumulating resources but rather expending them', Viktor Trehubov, head of the communications department of Ukraine's Joint Forces, said on the national 24/7 newscast cited by Ukrinform. Trehubov said armoured-vehicle use remains minimal because added protection layers only invite one more drone, and that a battlefield saturated with drones is shifting an increasing share of work to ground robotic systems, with warm, dry weather aiding strike activity.
us95Trump abandons Hormuz operation a day after announcing it as US-Israel campaign on Iran reaches 60 days with regime intact
Two months into the US-Israeli war on Iran, intensive bombing has failed to decapitate the Iranian regime or degrade its military capabilities, while Iran's continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens the global economy. President Trump announced a military operation on May 4 to force the strait, then dropped it the next day; Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war 'finished' the same day, only for Trump to counter with the threat of 'much stronger' bombings absent diplomatic progress. Iran's allies struck the United Arab Emirates on May 5, while a ceasefire that has held since April 8 has left the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran's strait closure both in place ahead of Trump's May 14-15 Beijing visit.
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Trump abandons Hormuz operation a day after announcing it as US-Israel campaign on Iran reaches 60 days with regime intact
Two months into the US-Israeli war on Iran, intensive bombing has failed to decapitate the Iranian regime or degrade its military capabilities, while Iran's continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens the global economy. President Trump announced a military operation on May 4 to force the strait, then dropped it the next day; Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war 'finished' the same day, only for Trump to counter with the threat of 'much stronger' bombings absent diplomatic progress. Iran's allies struck the United Arab Emirates on May 5, while a ceasefire that has held since April 8 has left the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran's strait closure both in place ahead of Trump's May 14-15 Beijing visit.
Two months into the US-Israeli war on Iran, intensive bombing has failed to decapitate the Iranian regime or degrade its military capabilities, while Iran's continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens the global economy. President Trump announced a military operation on May 4 to force the strait, then dropped it the next day; Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war 'finished' the same day, only for Trump to counter with the threat of 'much stronger' bombings absent diplomatic progress. Iran's allies struck the United Arab Emirates on May 5, while a ceasefire that has held since April 8 has left the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran's strait closure both in place ahead of Trump's May 14-15 Beijing visit.
ua95Ukraine sends chief negotiator Rustem Umerov to US for peace talks as negotiations stall
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dispatched National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in the U.S., a top Ukrainian official told POLITICO. The trip comes as Moscow-Kyiv peace negotiations mediated by Washington have stalled, with major sticking points including control over the Donbas region and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Zelenskyy has publicly criticized the imbalance in Witkoff's visits — eight trips to Moscow and none to Kyiv — calling it disrespectful.
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Ukraine sends chief negotiator Rustem Umerov to US for peace talks as negotiations stall
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dispatched National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in the U.S., a top Ukrainian official told POLITICO. The trip comes as Moscow-Kyiv peace negotiations mediated by Washington have stalled, with major sticking points including control over the Donbas region and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Zelenskyy has publicly criticized the imbalance in Witkoff's visits — eight trips to Moscow and none to Kyiv — calling it disrespectful.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dispatched National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in the U.S., a top Ukrainian official told POLITICO. The trip comes as Moscow-Kyiv peace negotiations mediated by Washington have stalled, with major sticking points including control over the Donbas region and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Zelenskyy has publicly criticized the imbalance in Witkoff's visits — eight trips to Moscow and none to Kyiv — calling it disrespectful.
gb95Scotland votes for 129 MSPs in 2026 Holyrood election with a record 4,320,981 on the roll and no overnight count
Polling stations across Scotland opened at 07:00 on May 7 for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, with a record 4,320,981 people registered to vote and almost a fifth of the electorate having applied for a postal ballot, according to the Electoral Commission. Voters are choosing 129 members of the Scottish Parliament — 73 in constituencies and 56 across eight regional lists — with polling stations closing at 22:00 and no requirement to show photo ID, unlike in England. For the second consecutive Holyrood vote there will be no overnight count: the Electoral Management Board for Scotland said counting will start at 09:00 on Friday, with first declarations expected in the afternoon and the final results from the Highlands and Islands region not due until about 19:00.
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Scotland votes for 129 MSPs in 2026 Holyrood election with a record 4,320,981 on the roll and no overnight count
Polling stations across Scotland opened at 07:00 on May 7 for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, with a record 4,320,981 people registered to vote and almost a fifth of the electorate having applied for a postal ballot, according to the Electoral Commission. Voters are choosing 129 members of the Scottish Parliament — 73 in constituencies and 56 across eight regional lists — with polling stations closing at 22:00 and no requirement to show photo ID, unlike in England. For the second consecutive Holyrood vote there will be no overnight count: the Electoral Management Board for Scotland said counting will start at 09:00 on Friday, with first declarations expected in the afternoon and the final results from the Highlands and Islands region not due until about 19:00.
Polling stations across Scotland opened at 07:00 on May 7 for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, with a record 4,320,981 people registered to vote and almost a fifth of the electorate having applied for a postal ballot, according to the Electoral Commission. Voters are choosing 129 members of the Scottish Parliament — 73 in constituencies and 56 across eight regional lists — with polling stations closing at 22:00 and no requirement to show photo ID, unlike in England. For the second consecutive Holyrood vote there will be no overnight count: the Electoral Management Board for Scotland said counting will start at 09:00 on Friday, with first declarations expected in the afternoon and the final results from the Highlands and Islands region not due until about 19:00.
de92Berlin's state intelligence chiefs warn of urgent Iran-linked hybrid-attack threat as Merz and Dobrindt play it down
Germany's national leaders and state intelligence agencies have clashed privately since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran over how bluntly to warn the public about the risk of Iran-sponsored attacks on German soil, according to a New York Times account drawing on 11 German intelligence officials, former officials and lawmakers. Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt have publicly cast the threats as 'largely hypothetical'; regional intelligence chiefs inside state governments say the threats are more concrete and urgent, five senior officials told the paper. Germany's role hosting US bases used in the Iran campaign has made the country a target in Tehran's eyes and is feeding fears of bombings or hybrid attacks by proxy agents recruited by Iran.
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Berlin's state intelligence chiefs warn of urgent Iran-linked hybrid-attack threat as Merz and Dobrindt play it down
Germany's national leaders and state intelligence agencies have clashed privately since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran over how bluntly to warn the public about the risk of Iran-sponsored attacks on German soil, according to a New York Times account drawing on 11 German intelligence officials, former officials and lawmakers. Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt have publicly cast the threats as 'largely hypothetical'; regional intelligence chiefs inside state governments say the threats are more concrete and urgent, five senior officials told the paper. Germany's role hosting US bases used in the Iran campaign has made the country a target in Tehran's eyes and is feeding fears of bombings or hybrid attacks by proxy agents recruited by Iran.
Germany's national leaders and state intelligence agencies have clashed privately since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran over how bluntly to warn the public about the risk of Iran-sponsored attacks on German soil, according to a New York Times account drawing on 11 German intelligence officials, former officials and lawmakers. Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt have publicly cast the threats as 'largely hypothetical'; regional intelligence chiefs inside state governments say the threats are more concrete and urgent, five senior officials told the paper. Germany's role hosting US bases used in the Iran campaign has made the country a target in Tehran's eyes and is feeding fears of bombings or hybrid attacks by proxy agents recruited by Iran.
ua90UN reports at least 70 civilians killed, over 500 wounded in Ukraine since May 1
The United Nations reported that at least 70 civilians have been killed and more than 500 wounded across Ukraine since the start of May. On May 5 alone, 28 people were killed and 194 wounded during Russian attacks, according to the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine. Mission Head Danielle Bell said the scale of civilian casualties and the extent of territory affected in just a few days are particularly alarming.
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UN reports at least 70 civilians killed, over 500 wounded in Ukraine since May 1
The United Nations reported that at least 70 civilians have been killed and more than 500 wounded across Ukraine since the start of May. On May 5 alone, 28 people were killed and 194 wounded during Russian attacks, according to the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine. Mission Head Danielle Bell said the scale of civilian casualties and the extent of territory affected in just a few days are particularly alarming.
The United Nations reported that at least 70 civilians have been killed and more than 500 wounded across Ukraine since the start of May. On May 5 alone, 28 people were killed and 194 wounded during Russian attacks, according to the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine. Mission Head Danielle Bell said the scale of civilian casualties and the extent of territory affected in just a few days are particularly alarming.
fr88France led 10.2% rise in EU Schengen visas to Russians in 2025, confidential Commission data shows
EU governments issued more than 620,000 Schengen visas to Russian citizens in 2025, a 10.2 percent rise from 2024, with France, Italy and Spain accounting for nearly three-quarters of applications, according to confidential European Commission figures circulated to capitals and seen by Euractiv. France posted the steepest year-on-year jump at 23 percent, cutting against the Commission's November 2025 ban on multiple-entry Schengen visas for Russians, which Brussels had justified by citing sabotage, espionage and weaponized migration. After eight member states demanded an explanation, the figures Paris had asked the Commission to remove from the internal Schengen Barometer reappeared in May in a separate technical document.
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France led 10.2% rise in EU Schengen visas to Russians in 2025, confidential Commission data shows
EU governments issued more than 620,000 Schengen visas to Russian citizens in 2025, a 10.2 percent rise from 2024, with France, Italy and Spain accounting for nearly three-quarters of applications, according to confidential European Commission figures circulated to capitals and seen by Euractiv. France posted the steepest year-on-year jump at 23 percent, cutting against the Commission's November 2025 ban on multiple-entry Schengen visas for Russians, which Brussels had justified by citing sabotage, espionage and weaponized migration. After eight member states demanded an explanation, the figures Paris had asked the Commission to remove from the internal Schengen Barometer reappeared in May in a separate technical document.
EU governments issued more than 620,000 Schengen visas to Russian citizens in 2025, a 10.2 percent rise from 2024, with France, Italy and Spain accounting for nearly three-quarters of applications, according to confidential European Commission figures circulated to capitals and seen by Euractiv. France posted the steepest year-on-year jump at 23 percent, cutting against the Commission's November 2025 ban on multiple-entry Schengen visas for Russians, which Brussels had justified by citing sabotage, espionage and weaponized migration. After eight member states demanded an explanation, the figures Paris had asked the Commission to remove from the internal Schengen Barometer reappeared in May in a separate technical document.
us88Oil prices extend decline as US sends peace proposal to Iran via Pakistan, Trump warns deal not final
Oil prices fell on Thursday, with Brent crude dropping 3.5% to $97.5 per barrel, after reports that the US sent a one-page memorandum of understanding to Iran through Pakistani intermediaries aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump cautioned that a deal is not yet finalized and warned the US could resume military strikes if Tehran fails to comply. Prices also came under pressure after Trump temporarily reversed a plan to assist commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, following a key Gulf ally's decision to suspend US military use of its bases and airspace for the operation.
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Oil prices extend decline as US sends peace proposal to Iran via Pakistan, Trump warns deal not final
Oil prices fell on Thursday, with Brent crude dropping 3.5% to $97.5 per barrel, after reports that the US sent a one-page memorandum of understanding to Iran through Pakistani intermediaries aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump cautioned that a deal is not yet finalized and warned the US could resume military strikes if Tehran fails to comply. Prices also came under pressure after Trump temporarily reversed a plan to assist commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, following a key Gulf ally's decision to suspend US military use of its bases and airspace for the operation.
Oil prices fell on Thursday, with Brent crude dropping 3.5% to $97.5 per barrel, after reports that the US sent a one-page memorandum of understanding to Iran through Pakistani intermediaries aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump cautioned that a deal is not yet finalized and warned the US could resume military strikes if Tehran fails to comply. Prices also came under pressure after Trump temporarily reversed a plan to assist commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, following a key Gulf ally's decision to suspend US military use of its bases and airspace for the operation.
gb88Report says Keir Starmer's discomfort with progressive values driving away left-leaning voters
A report from UCL's Policy Lab, using research by veteran pollster Stan Greenberg, warns that Keir Starmer's lack of a clear values-based argument is pushing progressive voters away from Labour. The findings come as the party braces for poor results in Thursday's local elections, which could trigger a leadership challenge. The report says voters want a more robust challenge to Donald Trump and a stronger defence of environmentalism.
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Report says Keir Starmer's discomfort with progressive values driving away left-leaning voters
A report from UCL's Policy Lab, using research by veteran pollster Stan Greenberg, warns that Keir Starmer's lack of a clear values-based argument is pushing progressive voters away from Labour. The findings come as the party braces for poor results in Thursday's local elections, which could trigger a leadership challenge. The report says voters want a more robust challenge to Donald Trump and a stronger defence of environmentalism.
A report from UCL's Policy Lab, using research by veteran pollster Stan Greenberg, warns that Keir Starmer's lack of a clear values-based argument is pushing progressive voters away from Labour. The findings come as the party braces for poor results in Thursday's local elections, which could trigger a leadership challenge. The report says voters want a more robust challenge to Donald Trump and a stronger defence of environmentalism.
us85DeepSeek V4 designed for Huawei chips challenges US AI dominance
DeepSeek has released version 4 of its AI model, designed to run on Huawei's GPU chips, demonstrating China's technological autonomy. The launch threatens the market position of US firms OpenAI and Anthropic, which plan IPOs in late 2026. OpenAI and Anthropic have accused DeepSeek of using "distillation" to train its models on responses from ChatGPT and Claude.
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DeepSeek V4 designed for Huawei chips challenges US AI dominance
DeepSeek has released version 4 of its AI model, designed to run on Huawei's GPU chips, demonstrating China's technological autonomy. The launch threatens the market position of US firms OpenAI and Anthropic, which plan IPOs in late 2026. OpenAI and Anthropic have accused DeepSeek of using "distillation" to train its models on responses from ChatGPT and Claude.
DeepSeek has released version 4 of its AI model, designed to run on Huawei's GPU chips, demonstrating China's technological autonomy. The launch threatens the market position of US firms OpenAI and Anthropic, which plan IPOs in late 2026. OpenAI and Anthropic have accused DeepSeek of using "distillation" to train its models on responses from ChatGPT and Claude.