In Focus

Top Stories

Archive
Global Briefing May 7

Two Wars Move Toward Washington Mediation as AI Race Shifts

Russia's spring offensive is at peak intensity but Russian forces are 'expending resources rather than accumulating them', Joint Forces spokesman Viktor Trehubov said, as Zelenskyy sent NSDC Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet US envoys Witkoff and Kushner. Sixty days into the US-Israeli war on Iran, Trump announced a Hormuz operation on May 4 and abandoned it May 5; Brent fell 3.5 percent to 97.5 dollars a barrel after a US one-page memo reached Tehran via Pakistan. The same day DeepSeek shipped V4 tuned to Huawei GPUs, and Anthropic warned an AI model could fully train its successor by 2028.

Read full brief
us · United States

Trump Opens Iran War and Midterm Campaigns

Trump entered the ninth night of renewed strikes on Iran with US service members dead, gasoline back at $4 and a $1.15tn defence bill blocked in the Senate. He then used a primetime address to claim China obtained 220m voter files, though his own declassified documents showed no altered votes. TSMC promised another $100bn for US fabs as the White House searched for an economic counter-story.

Weekly brief
gb · United Kingdom

Andy Burnham Promises Circuit Breaker for UK State

Andy Burnham entered Downing Street promising a ten-year “circuit breaker” after Britain’s seventh change of prime minister since 2016. He scrapped a £1.8bn digital-ID plan and ordered cost-of-living relief, but debt exceeds 95% of GDP and the IMF says fiscal room is tight. An official finding that MI5 misled three courts made his promise to restore public trust more than campaign rhetoric.

Weekly brief
fr · France

Macron Ties France to Germany in Nuclear Deterrence Pact

Macron used his final Bastille week to place German forces inside a French nuclear exercise and offer Berlin co-production of SAMP/T NG, even as the common tank project lost its tank. Mélenchon threatened to break the arrangement and Elon Musk called Marine Le Pen France’s “last hope.” At home, Parliament passed assisted dying 291–241 while a pesticide amendment put a 78-article farm bill at risk.

Weekly brief
de · Germany

Merz Builds Stronger Security State Before AfD Rise

Germany raised its threat level from “abstract” to “high” as Russian influence operations favoured the AfD and an Iranian newspaper named Friedrich Merz on a revenge list. Berlin is preparing active powers for its intelligence agencies while joining a French nuclear exercise and licensing €2.5bn of arms for Ukraine. With the AfD above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt, the powers built for today’s threats could belong to tomorrow’s government.

Weekly brief
ua · Ukraine

Zelensky Dismisses Fedorov Amid Ukraine War Ministry Crisis

Zelensky removed Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov after his feud with Oleksandr Syrskyi became unworkable, drawing protests in at least 16 cities and an ultimatum for 24 July. The rupture came as 145 Russian troops infiltrated Kostiantynivka, a Ukrainian drone destroyed a Tu-95 at Engels-2, and Russian missiles killed 10 people aboard the grain carrier Golden Leo.

Weekly brief
tr · Turkey

Turkey's Montreux Convention Outlasts Erdoğan's Emergency Politics

Turkey marked 90 years of the Montreux Convention by destroying an explosive drone that washed ashore in Istanbul, proof that control of the straits cannot contain every Black Sea risk. The anniversary followed a decade since the failed coup, as Özgür Özel prepared a breakaway party and another CHP mayor was detained. Abroad, Ankara pursued influence in Ukraine and Syria without choosing a camp.

Weekly brief
Day in Review

All Events

Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

97
Filter
ua97

Russia's spring-summer offensive is at peak intensity with forces 'expending resources rather than accumulating', Ukrainian command says

Russian forces have entered the active phase of their spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with the campaign already at peak intensity and Russian troops 'not accumulating resources but rather expending them', Viktor Trehubov, head of the communications department of Ukraine's Joint Forces, said on the national 24/7 newscast cited by Ukrinform. Trehubov said armoured-vehicle use remains minimal because added protection layers only invite one more drone, and that a battlefield saturated with drones is shifting an increasing share of work to ground robotic systems, with warm, dry weather aiding strike activity.

Show summary

Russian forces have entered the active phase of their spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with the campaign already at peak intensity and Russian troops 'not accumulating resources but rather expending them', Viktor Trehubov, head of the communications department of Ukraine's Joint Forces, said on the national 24/7 newscast cited by Ukrinform. Trehubov said armoured-vehicle use remains minimal because added protection layers only invite one more drone, and that a battlefield saturated with drones is shifting an increasing share of work to ground robotic systems, with warm, dry weather aiding strike activity.

us95

Trump abandons Hormuz operation a day after announcing it as US-Israel campaign on Iran reaches 60 days with regime intact

Two months into the US-Israeli war on Iran, intensive bombing has failed to decapitate the Iranian regime or degrade its military capabilities, while Iran's continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens the global economy. President Trump announced a military operation on May 4 to force the strait, then dropped it the next day; Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war 'finished' the same day, only for Trump to counter with the threat of 'much stronger' bombings absent diplomatic progress. Iran's allies struck the United Arab Emirates on May 5, while a ceasefire that has held since April 8 has left the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran's strait closure both in place ahead of Trump's May 14-15 Beijing visit.

Show summary

Two months into the US-Israeli war on Iran, intensive bombing has failed to decapitate the Iranian regime or degrade its military capabilities, while Iran's continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens the global economy. President Trump announced a military operation on May 4 to force the strait, then dropped it the next day; Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war 'finished' the same day, only for Trump to counter with the threat of 'much stronger' bombings absent diplomatic progress. Iran's allies struck the United Arab Emirates on May 5, while a ceasefire that has held since April 8 has left the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran's strait closure both in place ahead of Trump's May 14-15 Beijing visit.

ua95

Ukraine sends chief negotiator Rustem Umerov to US for peace talks as negotiations stall

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dispatched National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in the U.S., a top Ukrainian official told POLITICO. The trip comes as Moscow-Kyiv peace negotiations mediated by Washington have stalled, with major sticking points including control over the Donbas region and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Zelenskyy has publicly criticized the imbalance in Witkoff's visits — eight trips to Moscow and none to Kyiv — calling it disrespectful.

Show summary

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dispatched National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in the U.S., a top Ukrainian official told POLITICO. The trip comes as Moscow-Kyiv peace negotiations mediated by Washington have stalled, with major sticking points including control over the Donbas region and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Zelenskyy has publicly criticized the imbalance in Witkoff's visits — eight trips to Moscow and none to Kyiv — calling it disrespectful.

gb95

Scotland votes for 129 MSPs in 2026 Holyrood election with a record 4,320,981 on the roll and no overnight count

Polling stations across Scotland opened at 07:00 on May 7 for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, with a record 4,320,981 people registered to vote and almost a fifth of the electorate having applied for a postal ballot, according to the Electoral Commission. Voters are choosing 129 members of the Scottish Parliament — 73 in constituencies and 56 across eight regional lists — with polling stations closing at 22:00 and no requirement to show photo ID, unlike in England. For the second consecutive Holyrood vote there will be no overnight count: the Electoral Management Board for Scotland said counting will start at 09:00 on Friday, with first declarations expected in the afternoon and the final results from the Highlands and Islands region not due until about 19:00.

Show summary

Polling stations across Scotland opened at 07:00 on May 7 for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, with a record 4,320,981 people registered to vote and almost a fifth of the electorate having applied for a postal ballot, according to the Electoral Commission. Voters are choosing 129 members of the Scottish Parliament — 73 in constituencies and 56 across eight regional lists — with polling stations closing at 22:00 and no requirement to show photo ID, unlike in England. For the second consecutive Holyrood vote there will be no overnight count: the Electoral Management Board for Scotland said counting will start at 09:00 on Friday, with first declarations expected in the afternoon and the final results from the Highlands and Islands region not due until about 19:00.

de92

Berlin's state intelligence chiefs warn of urgent Iran-linked hybrid-attack threat as Merz and Dobrindt play it down

Germany's national leaders and state intelligence agencies have clashed privately since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran over how bluntly to warn the public about the risk of Iran-sponsored attacks on German soil, according to a New York Times account drawing on 11 German intelligence officials, former officials and lawmakers. Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt have publicly cast the threats as 'largely hypothetical'; regional intelligence chiefs inside state governments say the threats are more concrete and urgent, five senior officials told the paper. Germany's role hosting US bases used in the Iran campaign has made the country a target in Tehran's eyes and is feeding fears of bombings or hybrid attacks by proxy agents recruited by Iran.

Show summary

Germany's national leaders and state intelligence agencies have clashed privately since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran over how bluntly to warn the public about the risk of Iran-sponsored attacks on German soil, according to a New York Times account drawing on 11 German intelligence officials, former officials and lawmakers. Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt have publicly cast the threats as 'largely hypothetical'; regional intelligence chiefs inside state governments say the threats are more concrete and urgent, five senior officials told the paper. Germany's role hosting US bases used in the Iran campaign has made the country a target in Tehran's eyes and is feeding fears of bombings or hybrid attacks by proxy agents recruited by Iran.

ua90

UN reports at least 70 civilians killed, over 500 wounded in Ukraine since May 1

The United Nations reported that at least 70 civilians have been killed and more than 500 wounded across Ukraine since the start of May. On May 5 alone, 28 people were killed and 194 wounded during Russian attacks, according to the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine. Mission Head Danielle Bell said the scale of civilian casualties and the extent of territory affected in just a few days are particularly alarming.

Show summary

The United Nations reported that at least 70 civilians have been killed and more than 500 wounded across Ukraine since the start of May. On May 5 alone, 28 people were killed and 194 wounded during Russian attacks, according to the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine. Mission Head Danielle Bell said the scale of civilian casualties and the extent of territory affected in just a few days are particularly alarming.

fr88

France led 10.2% rise in EU Schengen visas to Russians in 2025, confidential Commission data shows

EU governments issued more than 620,000 Schengen visas to Russian citizens in 2025, a 10.2 percent rise from 2024, with France, Italy and Spain accounting for nearly three-quarters of applications, according to confidential European Commission figures circulated to capitals and seen by Euractiv. France posted the steepest year-on-year jump at 23 percent, cutting against the Commission's November 2025 ban on multiple-entry Schengen visas for Russians, which Brussels had justified by citing sabotage, espionage and weaponized migration. After eight member states demanded an explanation, the figures Paris had asked the Commission to remove from the internal Schengen Barometer reappeared in May in a separate technical document.

Show summary

EU governments issued more than 620,000 Schengen visas to Russian citizens in 2025, a 10.2 percent rise from 2024, with France, Italy and Spain accounting for nearly three-quarters of applications, according to confidential European Commission figures circulated to capitals and seen by Euractiv. France posted the steepest year-on-year jump at 23 percent, cutting against the Commission's November 2025 ban on multiple-entry Schengen visas for Russians, which Brussels had justified by citing sabotage, espionage and weaponized migration. After eight member states demanded an explanation, the figures Paris had asked the Commission to remove from the internal Schengen Barometer reappeared in May in a separate technical document.

us88

Oil prices extend decline as US sends peace proposal to Iran via Pakistan, Trump warns deal not final

Oil prices fell on Thursday, with Brent crude dropping 3.5% to $97.5 per barrel, after reports that the US sent a one-page memorandum of understanding to Iran through Pakistani intermediaries aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump cautioned that a deal is not yet finalized and warned the US could resume military strikes if Tehran fails to comply. Prices also came under pressure after Trump temporarily reversed a plan to assist commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, following a key Gulf ally's decision to suspend US military use of its bases and airspace for the operation.

Show summary

Oil prices fell on Thursday, with Brent crude dropping 3.5% to $97.5 per barrel, after reports that the US sent a one-page memorandum of understanding to Iran through Pakistani intermediaries aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump cautioned that a deal is not yet finalized and warned the US could resume military strikes if Tehran fails to comply. Prices also came under pressure after Trump temporarily reversed a plan to assist commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, following a key Gulf ally's decision to suspend US military use of its bases and airspace for the operation.

gb88

Report says Keir Starmer's discomfort with progressive values driving away left-leaning voters

A report from UCL's Policy Lab, using research by veteran pollster Stan Greenberg, warns that Keir Starmer's lack of a clear values-based argument is pushing progressive voters away from Labour. The findings come as the party braces for poor results in Thursday's local elections, which could trigger a leadership challenge. The report says voters want a more robust challenge to Donald Trump and a stronger defence of environmentalism.

Show summary

A report from UCL's Policy Lab, using research by veteran pollster Stan Greenberg, warns that Keir Starmer's lack of a clear values-based argument is pushing progressive voters away from Labour. The findings come as the party braces for poor results in Thursday's local elections, which could trigger a leadership challenge. The report says voters want a more robust challenge to Donald Trump and a stronger defence of environmentalism.

us85

DeepSeek V4 designed for Huawei chips challenges US AI dominance

DeepSeek has released version 4 of its AI model, designed to run on Huawei's GPU chips, demonstrating China's technological autonomy. The launch threatens the market position of US firms OpenAI and Anthropic, which plan IPOs in late 2026. OpenAI and Anthropic have accused DeepSeek of using "distillation" to train its models on responses from ChatGPT and Claude.

Show summary

DeepSeek has released version 4 of its AI model, designed to run on Huawei's GPU chips, demonstrating China's technological autonomy. The launch threatens the market position of US firms OpenAI and Anthropic, which plan IPOs in late 2026. OpenAI and Anthropic have accused DeepSeek of using "distillation" to train its models on responses from ChatGPT and Claude.