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Two Ceasefires in Iran, Ukraine as Western Alliance Splits
Trump's Project Freedom safe-zone in the Strait of Hormuz collapsed after 50 hours; leaked CIA assessments put Iran's surviving stockpile at 70 percent of missiles, CENTCOM disabled two Iranian tankers, and the Trump-Netanyahu alliance showed visible strain. Hezbollah claimed 26 attacks Friday, two inside Israel; the UAE reported a fresh Iranian strike. The US-brokered May 9-11 Ukraine ceasefire took effect even as Russian drones killed civilians in Polohy and Chernihiv. Four retired generals warned in the F.A.S. of a five-year window for a Russian probe into the Baltics.
Trump Opens Iran War and Midterm Campaigns
Trump entered the ninth night of renewed strikes on Iran with US service members dead, gasoline back at $4 and a $1.15tn defence bill blocked in the Senate. He then used a primetime address to claim China obtained 220m voter files, though his own declassified documents showed no altered votes. TSMC promised another $100bn for US fabs as the White House searched for an economic counter-story.
Weekly briefAndy Burnham Promises Circuit Breaker for UK State
Andy Burnham entered Downing Street promising a ten-year “circuit breaker” after Britain’s seventh change of prime minister since 2016. He scrapped a £1.8bn digital-ID plan and ordered cost-of-living relief, but debt exceeds 95% of GDP and the IMF says fiscal room is tight. An official finding that MI5 misled three courts made his promise to restore public trust more than campaign rhetoric.
Weekly briefMacron Ties France to Germany in Nuclear Deterrence Pact
Macron used his final Bastille week to place German forces inside a French nuclear exercise and offer Berlin co-production of SAMP/T NG, even as the common tank project lost its tank. Mélenchon threatened to break the arrangement and Elon Musk called Marine Le Pen France’s “last hope.” At home, Parliament passed assisted dying 291–241 while a pesticide amendment put a 78-article farm bill at risk.
Weekly briefMerz Builds Stronger Security State Before AfD Rise
Germany raised its threat level from “abstract” to “high” as Russian influence operations favoured the AfD and an Iranian newspaper named Friedrich Merz on a revenge list. Berlin is preparing active powers for its intelligence agencies while joining a French nuclear exercise and licensing €2.5bn of arms for Ukraine. With the AfD above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt, the powers built for today’s threats could belong to tomorrow’s government.
Weekly briefZelensky Dismisses Fedorov Amid Ukraine War Ministry Crisis
Zelensky removed Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov after his feud with Oleksandr Syrskyi became unworkable, drawing protests in at least 16 cities and an ultimatum for 24 July. The rupture came as 145 Russian troops infiltrated Kostiantynivka, a Ukrainian drone destroyed a Tu-95 at Engels-2, and Russian missiles killed 10 people aboard the grain carrier Golden Leo.
Weekly briefTurkey's Montreux Convention Outlasts Erdoğan's Emergency Politics
Turkey marked 90 years of the Montreux Convention by destroying an explosive drone that washed ashore in Istanbul, proof that control of the straits cannot contain every Black Sea risk. The anniversary followed a decade since the failed coup, as Özgür Özel prepared a breakaway party and another CHP mayor was detained. Abroad, Ankara pursued influence in Ukraine and Syria without choosing a camp.
Weekly briefAll Events
Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.
us95Trump's 'Project Freedom' safe-zone in Strait of Hormuz collapses after 50 hours as Iran retains 70% of missile stockpile
Donald Trump's unilateral Project Freedom — a safe-shipping zone on the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz protected by more than 100 fighter jets and several naval destroyers — collapsed after 50 hours, defeated by Saudi objections, an absence of consultation with the shipping industry, and the fact that only two merchant vessels used it. Leaked CIA assessments put Iran's surviving capability at 70 percent of its missiles, 75 percent of its launchers and roughly half of its Shahed attack drones, while a leaked US intelligence estimate, published this week by the Washington Post, gives Tehran three to four months before more severe economic hardship sets in.
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Trump's 'Project Freedom' safe-zone in Strait of Hormuz collapses after 50 hours as Iran retains 70% of missile stockpile
Donald Trump's unilateral Project Freedom — a safe-shipping zone on the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz protected by more than 100 fighter jets and several naval destroyers — collapsed after 50 hours, defeated by Saudi objections, an absence of consultation with the shipping industry, and the fact that only two merchant vessels used it. Leaked CIA assessments put Iran's surviving capability at 70 percent of its missiles, 75 percent of its launchers and roughly half of its Shahed attack drones, while a leaked US intelligence estimate, published this week by the Washington Post, gives Tehran three to four months before more severe economic hardship sets in.
Donald Trump's unilateral Project Freedom — a safe-shipping zone on the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz protected by more than 100 fighter jets and several naval destroyers — collapsed after 50 hours, defeated by Saudi objections, an absence of consultation with the shipping industry, and the fact that only two merchant vessels used it. Leaked CIA assessments put Iran's surviving capability at 70 percent of its missiles, 75 percent of its launchers and roughly half of its Shahed attack drones, while a leaked US intelligence estimate, published this week by the Washington Post, gives Tehran three to four months before more severe economic hardship sets in.
ua95Russian FPV drone kills 67-year-old driver in Polohy district as US-brokered May 9-11 ceasefire takes effect
A Russian FPV drone struck a civilian car in the Polohy district of Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region on May 9, killing the 67-year-old driver on the spot and injuring a 62-year-old man and a 61-year-old woman, hours into a US-brokered May 9-11 humanitarian pause meant to enable an exchange of 1,000 prisoners on each side. The same overnight Russian assault, launched at 18:00 on May 8 with one Iskander-M ballistic missile from Crimea and 43 drones, also killed a 70-year-old man and his 49-year-old son in a strike on an agricultural enterprise in the Chernihiv region's Novhorod-Siverskyi district.
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Russian FPV drone kills 67-year-old driver in Polohy district as US-brokered May 9-11 ceasefire takes effect
A Russian FPV drone struck a civilian car in the Polohy district of Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region on May 9, killing the 67-year-old driver on the spot and injuring a 62-year-old man and a 61-year-old woman, hours into a US-brokered May 9-11 humanitarian pause meant to enable an exchange of 1,000 prisoners on each side. The same overnight Russian assault, launched at 18:00 on May 8 with one Iskander-M ballistic missile from Crimea and 43 drones, also killed a 70-year-old man and his 49-year-old son in a strike on an agricultural enterprise in the Chernihiv region's Novhorod-Siverskyi district.
A Russian FPV drone struck a civilian car in the Polohy district of Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region on May 9, killing the 67-year-old driver on the spot and injuring a 62-year-old man and a 61-year-old woman, hours into a US-brokered May 9-11 humanitarian pause meant to enable an exchange of 1,000 prisoners on each side. The same overnight Russian assault, launched at 18:00 on May 8 with one Iskander-M ballistic missile from Crimea and 43 drones, also killed a 70-year-old man and his 49-year-old son in a strike on an agricultural enterprise in the Chernihiv region's Novhorod-Siverskyi district.
de95Four retired generals tell F.A.S. NATO faces a five-year window in which Russia could attack the Baltics, with Germany pulled in as logistics hub
Air Marshal Greg Bagwell (UK), Lt Gen Ben Hodges (US), Maj Gen Mick Ryan (Australia) and Lt Gen Jürgen-Joachim von Sandrart (Germany) told the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung that Russia could attack NATO inside roughly five years, most likely a limited push into the Baltics designed to test Article 5 — and that Germany would be drawn in because every major NATO supply route runs through it. Bagwell put the window at "perhaps five years"; Von Sandrart said the greatest danger runs "until" 2029, not from it. The warnings land as Donald Trump moves to pull at least 5,000 US troops from Germany and shelve the Tomahawk battalion Joe Biden had pledged for this year, depleted further by the $25 billion Iran campaign.
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Four retired generals tell F.A.S. NATO faces a five-year window in which Russia could attack the Baltics, with Germany pulled in as logistics hub
Air Marshal Greg Bagwell (UK), Lt Gen Ben Hodges (US), Maj Gen Mick Ryan (Australia) and Lt Gen Jürgen-Joachim von Sandrart (Germany) told the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung that Russia could attack NATO inside roughly five years, most likely a limited push into the Baltics designed to test Article 5 — and that Germany would be drawn in because every major NATO supply route runs through it. Bagwell put the window at "perhaps five years"; Von Sandrart said the greatest danger runs "until" 2029, not from it. The warnings land as Donald Trump moves to pull at least 5,000 US troops from Germany and shelve the Tomahawk battalion Joe Biden had pledged for this year, depleted further by the $25 billion Iran campaign.
Air Marshal Greg Bagwell (UK), Lt Gen Ben Hodges (US), Maj Gen Mick Ryan (Australia) and Lt Gen Jürgen-Joachim von Sandrart (Germany) told the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung that Russia could attack NATO inside roughly five years, most likely a limited push into the Baltics designed to test Article 5 — and that Germany would be drawn in because every major NATO supply route runs through it. Bagwell put the window at "perhaps five years"; Von Sandrart said the greatest danger runs "until" 2029, not from it. The warnings land as Donald Trump moves to pull at least 5,000 US troops from Germany and shelve the Tomahawk battalion Joe Biden had pledged for this year, depleted further by the $25 billion Iran campaign.
gb95Labour MP Catherine West threatens to collect signatures for a leadership contest by Monday after Starmer loses 1,400 council seats
Catherine West, Labour MP for Hornsey and Friern Barnet and a former junior Foreign Office minister, told the BBC's PM programme she will start collecting signatures from the Parliamentary Labour Party on Monday morning to trigger a leadership contest if no cabinet challenger to Keir Starmer has emerged. Her preferred outcome, she said, is a cabinet reshuffle that moves Starmer to an "international role." Labour has lost more than 1,400 English council representatives, control of Bradford, Calderdale, Wakefield, Leeds and Barnsley — the latter ending more than 50 years of Labour rule — and First Minister Eluned Morgan's Senedd seat in Wales, where Ken Skates has taken over as interim leader.
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Labour MP Catherine West threatens to collect signatures for a leadership contest by Monday after Starmer loses 1,400 council seats
Catherine West, Labour MP for Hornsey and Friern Barnet and a former junior Foreign Office minister, told the BBC's PM programme she will start collecting signatures from the Parliamentary Labour Party on Monday morning to trigger a leadership contest if no cabinet challenger to Keir Starmer has emerged. Her preferred outcome, she said, is a cabinet reshuffle that moves Starmer to an "international role." Labour has lost more than 1,400 English council representatives, control of Bradford, Calderdale, Wakefield, Leeds and Barnsley — the latter ending more than 50 years of Labour rule — and First Minister Eluned Morgan's Senedd seat in Wales, where Ken Skates has taken over as interim leader.
Catherine West, Labour MP for Hornsey and Friern Barnet and a former junior Foreign Office minister, told the BBC's PM programme she will start collecting signatures from the Parliamentary Labour Party on Monday morning to trigger a leadership contest if no cabinet challenger to Keir Starmer has emerged. Her preferred outcome, she said, is a cabinet reshuffle that moves Starmer to an "international role." Labour has lost more than 1,400 English council representatives, control of Bradford, Calderdale, Wakefield, Leeds and Barnsley — the latter ending more than 50 years of Labour rule — and First Minister Eluned Morgan's Senedd seat in Wales, where Ken Skates has taken over as interim leader.
gb92UK PM Starmer appoints Gordon Brown and Harriet Harman as advisers amid Labour election losses
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has appointed former prime minister Gordon Brown as envoy on global finance and former deputy leader Harriet Harman as adviser on women and girls, in a move to shore up support after Labour suffered historic losses in local and regional elections. Labour lost more than 1,400 council seats in England and fell to third place in the Welsh Senedd, its worst result in Wales in a century. Several Labour MPs have called on Starmer to set a timetable for his departure, though he has rejected resignation demands.
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UK PM Starmer appoints Gordon Brown and Harriet Harman as advisers amid Labour election losses
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has appointed former prime minister Gordon Brown as envoy on global finance and former deputy leader Harriet Harman as adviser on women and girls, in a move to shore up support after Labour suffered historic losses in local and regional elections. Labour lost more than 1,400 council seats in England and fell to third place in the Welsh Senedd, its worst result in Wales in a century. Several Labour MPs have called on Starmer to set a timetable for his departure, though he has rejected resignation demands.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has appointed former prime minister Gordon Brown as envoy on global finance and former deputy leader Harriet Harman as adviser on women and girls, in a move to shore up support after Labour suffered historic losses in local and regional elections. Labour lost more than 1,400 council seats in England and fell to third place in the Welsh Senedd, its worst result in Wales in a century. Several Labour MPs have called on Starmer to set a timetable for his departure, though he has rejected resignation demands.
us90US disables two Iranian oil tankers near Strait of Hormuz, awaits Tehran response on peace plan
The U.S. military on Friday struck and disabled two Iranian-flagged oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz to prevent them from reaching an Iranian port on the Gulf of Oman. U.S. Central Command commander Brad Cooper said forces are enforcing a blockade of vessels entering or leaving Iran. Washington is awaiting Tehran's response to the latest U.S. peace proposals, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio saying he hopes for a serious offer.
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US disables two Iranian oil tankers near Strait of Hormuz, awaits Tehran response on peace plan
The U.S. military on Friday struck and disabled two Iranian-flagged oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz to prevent them from reaching an Iranian port on the Gulf of Oman. U.S. Central Command commander Brad Cooper said forces are enforcing a blockade of vessels entering or leaving Iran. Washington is awaiting Tehran's response to the latest U.S. peace proposals, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio saying he hopes for a serious offer.
The U.S. military on Friday struck and disabled two Iranian-flagged oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz to prevent them from reaching an Iranian port on the Gulf of Oman. U.S. Central Command commander Brad Cooper said forces are enforcing a blockade of vessels entering or leaving Iran. Washington is awaiting Tehran's response to the latest U.S. peace proposals, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio saying he hopes for a serious offer.
ua88Ukraine strikes Russian supply lines near Mariupol; Russia agrees to three-day ceasefire
Ukrainian forces are reconnoitering and interdicting Russian ground lines of communication near occupied Mariupol, about 105 kilometers from the frontline, as part of an intensifying mid-range strike campaign. Ukraine and Russia agreed to a three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11 for the Victory Day parade and a prisoner of war exchange. A senior Kremlin official demanded Ukrainian withdrawal from the remainder of Donetsk Oblast as a precondition for a ceasefire, a condition Russian forces have not achieved on the battlefield.
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Ukraine strikes Russian supply lines near Mariupol; Russia agrees to three-day ceasefire
Ukrainian forces are reconnoitering and interdicting Russian ground lines of communication near occupied Mariupol, about 105 kilometers from the frontline, as part of an intensifying mid-range strike campaign. Ukraine and Russia agreed to a three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11 for the Victory Day parade and a prisoner of war exchange. A senior Kremlin official demanded Ukrainian withdrawal from the remainder of Donetsk Oblast as a precondition for a ceasefire, a condition Russian forces have not achieved on the battlefield.
Ukrainian forces are reconnoitering and interdicting Russian ground lines of communication near occupied Mariupol, about 105 kilometers from the frontline, as part of an intensifying mid-range strike campaign. Ukraine and Russia agreed to a three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11 for the Victory Day parade and a prisoner of war exchange. A senior Kremlin official demanded Ukrainian withdrawal from the remainder of Donetsk Oblast as a precondition for a ceasefire, a condition Russian forces have not achieved on the battlefield.
gb88Reform UK gains over 1,400 councillors in historic local election wins across Britain
Reform UK has secured more than 1,400 council seats across England, swept Essex County Council, and finished second in the Welsh Parliament elections behind Plaid Cymru. The party also tied with Labour for second place in Scotland with 17 MSPs each. Home affairs spokesman Zia Yusuf said the party would "welcome scrutiny" and not take voters for granted.
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Reform UK gains over 1,400 councillors in historic local election wins across Britain
Reform UK has secured more than 1,400 council seats across England, swept Essex County Council, and finished second in the Welsh Parliament elections behind Plaid Cymru. The party also tied with Labour for second place in Scotland with 17 MSPs each. Home affairs spokesman Zia Yusuf said the party would "welcome scrutiny" and not take voters for granted.
Reform UK has secured more than 1,400 council seats across England, swept Essex County Council, and finished second in the Welsh Parliament elections behind Plaid Cymru. The party also tied with Labour for second place in Scotland with 17 MSPs each. Home affairs spokesman Zia Yusuf said the party would "welcome scrutiny" and not take voters for granted.
tr88Iran's foreign minister tells Turkish counterpart Hakan Fidan that US ceasefire violations cast doubt on Washington's seriousness
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told his Turkish counterpart Hakan Fidan in a phone call on Saturday that recent US military escalation and "multiple ceasefire violations" had reinforced Tehran's doubts about the seriousness of American diplomacy. The exchange, reported by Iranian media at 16:34 BST, came a day after Donald Trump said he was waiting for an Iranian response to a proposed settlement aimed at permanently ending hostilities — an offer on which Tehran has yet to comment publicly.
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Iran's foreign minister tells Turkish counterpart Hakan Fidan that US ceasefire violations cast doubt on Washington's seriousness
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told his Turkish counterpart Hakan Fidan in a phone call on Saturday that recent US military escalation and "multiple ceasefire violations" had reinforced Tehran's doubts about the seriousness of American diplomacy. The exchange, reported by Iranian media at 16:34 BST, came a day after Donald Trump said he was waiting for an Iranian response to a proposed settlement aimed at permanently ending hostilities — an offer on which Tehran has yet to comment publicly.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told his Turkish counterpart Hakan Fidan in a phone call on Saturday that recent US military escalation and "multiple ceasefire violations" had reinforced Tehran's doubts about the seriousness of American diplomacy. The exchange, reported by Iranian media at 16:34 BST, came a day after Donald Trump said he was waiting for an Iranian response to a proposed settlement aimed at permanently ending hostilities — an offer on which Tehran has yet to comment publicly.
fr85Paris police arrest 59 in clashes after court upholds ban on far-right May 9 march and antifascist counter-rally
Paris police arrested 59 far-right and far-left activists across central Paris on May 9 after the Paris administrative court upheld the prefecture's ban on the Comité du 9-Mai's annual ultranationalist march and an antifascist counter-rally. The prefecture said 32 of those detained were placed in custody for membership of a group preparing violence and for carrying prohibited weapons — including telescopic batons and knives — during dispersal operations at République, Pyramides, Saint-Michel and Montparnasse.
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Paris police arrest 59 in clashes after court upholds ban on far-right May 9 march and antifascist counter-rally
Paris police arrested 59 far-right and far-left activists across central Paris on May 9 after the Paris administrative court upheld the prefecture's ban on the Comité du 9-Mai's annual ultranationalist march and an antifascist counter-rally. The prefecture said 32 of those detained were placed in custody for membership of a group preparing violence and for carrying prohibited weapons — including telescopic batons and knives — during dispersal operations at République, Pyramides, Saint-Michel and Montparnasse.
Paris police arrested 59 far-right and far-left activists across central Paris on May 9 after the Paris administrative court upheld the prefecture's ban on the Comité du 9-Mai's annual ultranationalist march and an antifascist counter-rally. The prefecture said 32 of those detained were placed in custody for membership of a group preparing violence and for carrying prohibited weapons — including telescopic batons and knives — during dispersal operations at République, Pyramides, Saint-Michel and Montparnasse.