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Global Briefing May 13

Trump's Ceasefires Unravel as He Lands in Beijing

Trump rejected Tehran's latest peace proposals as "garbage" and called the April 8 Iran ceasefire "on massive life support" as Energy Secretary Chris Wright told lawmakers Iran was "frighteningly close" to a nuclear weapon and a New York Times-reported assessment found Iran kept ~70% of its prewar missile stockpile; Russia ran 753 drones at Kyiv, Lviv and Odesa in one of the war's longest barrages, Wes Streeting prepared a Labour leadership bid against Keir Starmer after ~1,500 English council-seat losses, and Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon killed 21 across two days.

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us · United States

Trump Opens Iran War and Midterm Campaigns

Trump entered the ninth night of renewed strikes on Iran with US service members dead, gasoline back at $4 and a $1.15tn defence bill blocked in the Senate. He then used a primetime address to claim China obtained 220m voter files, though his own declassified documents showed no altered votes. TSMC promised another $100bn for US fabs as the White House searched for an economic counter-story.

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gb · United Kingdom

Andy Burnham Promises Circuit Breaker for UK State

Andy Burnham entered Downing Street promising a ten-year “circuit breaker” after Britain’s seventh change of prime minister since 2016. He scrapped a £1.8bn digital-ID plan and ordered cost-of-living relief, but debt exceeds 95% of GDP and the IMF says fiscal room is tight. An official finding that MI5 misled three courts made his promise to restore public trust more than campaign rhetoric.

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fr · France

Macron Ties France to Germany in Nuclear Deterrence Pact

Macron used his final Bastille week to place German forces inside a French nuclear exercise and offer Berlin co-production of SAMP/T NG, even as the common tank project lost its tank. Mélenchon threatened to break the arrangement and Elon Musk called Marine Le Pen France’s “last hope.” At home, Parliament passed assisted dying 291–241 while a pesticide amendment put a 78-article farm bill at risk.

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de · Germany

Merz Builds Stronger Security State Before AfD Rise

Germany raised its threat level from “abstract” to “high” as Russian influence operations favoured the AfD and an Iranian newspaper named Friedrich Merz on a revenge list. Berlin is preparing active powers for its intelligence agencies while joining a French nuclear exercise and licensing €2.5bn of arms for Ukraine. With the AfD above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt, the powers built for today’s threats could belong to tomorrow’s government.

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ua · Ukraine

Zelensky Dismisses Fedorov Amid Ukraine War Ministry Crisis

Zelensky removed Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov after his feud with Oleksandr Syrskyi became unworkable, drawing protests in at least 16 cities and an ultimatum for 24 July. The rupture came as 145 Russian troops infiltrated Kostiantynivka, a Ukrainian drone destroyed a Tu-95 at Engels-2, and Russian missiles killed 10 people aboard the grain carrier Golden Leo.

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tr · Turkey

Turkey's Montreux Convention Outlasts Erdoğan's Emergency Politics

Turkey marked 90 years of the Montreux Convention by destroying an explosive drone that washed ashore in Istanbul, proof that control of the straits cannot contain every Black Sea risk. The anniversary followed a decade since the failed coup, as Özgür Özel prepared a breakaway party and another CHP mayor was detained. Abroad, Ankara pursued influence in Ukraine and Syria without choosing a camp.

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Day in Review

All Events

Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

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fr95

France reports 22 hantavirus contacts, one patient in intensive care; government stresses transparency

France reported 22 contact cases of hantavirus on May 13, with one patient in intensive care, as the government adopted a strategy of transparency to avoid public panic. Many French people expressed reassurance, citing experience from the coronavirus pandemic, though some said they would consider wearing masks again. Opinion specialist Emmanuel Rivière said transparency is key to treating citizens as adults.

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France reported 22 contact cases of hantavirus on May 13, with one patient in intensive care, as the government adopted a strategy of transparency to avoid public panic. Many French people expressed reassurance, citing experience from the coronavirus pandemic, though some said they would consider wearing masks again. Opinion specialist Emmanuel Rivière said transparency is key to treating citizens as adults.

ua95

Russia abandons push on Stepnohirsk after heavy losses; average mobilized soldier survived 12 minutes

Russian forces are abandoning attempts to advance on Stepnohirsk in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Oblast after suffering heavy losses, according to Ihor Burdeinyi, commander of the 128th Separate Zakarpattia Mountain Assault Brigade. Burdeinyi said the average survival time of a newly mobilized Russian soldier there was around 12 minutes. The settlement remains fully under Ukrainian control, with no Russian troops inside.

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Russian forces are abandoning attempts to advance on Stepnohirsk in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Oblast after suffering heavy losses, according to Ihor Burdeinyi, commander of the 128th Separate Zakarpattia Mountain Assault Brigade. Burdeinyi said the average survival time of a newly mobilized Russian soldier there was around 12 minutes. The settlement remains fully under Ukrainian control, with no Russian troops inside.

de95

German auto industry warns of 225,000 job losses by 2035

The German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA) warned on May 13 that up to 225,000 jobs could be lost by 2035, 35,000 more than earlier forecasts. VDA President Hildegard Müller said the shift from combustion engines to electric vehicles is hitting suppliers hardest and pointed to a "serious and persistent location crisis" in Germany and Europe. The VDA added that greater technology openness could preserve up to 50,000 jobs.

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The German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA) warned on May 13 that up to 225,000 jobs could be lost by 2035, 35,000 more than earlier forecasts. VDA President Hildegard Müller said the shift from combustion engines to electric vehicles is hitting suppliers hardest and pointed to a "serious and persistent location crisis" in Germany and Europe. The VDA added that greater technology openness could preserve up to 50,000 jobs.

gb95

UK Health Secretary Wes Streeting prepares leadership challenge as Starmer faces mounting rebellion

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer did not directly address calls for his resignation during Wednesday's King's Speech debate, as Health Secretary Wes Streeting is expected to trigger a Labour leadership contest as soon as Thursday. Streeting met Starmer for less than 20 minutes in Downing Street on Wednesday, with allies telling the BBC they expect him to launch a bid requiring the support of 81 Labour MPs. More than 90 Labour lawmakers have publicly called for Starmer to resign, while over 110 have expressed support for him to remain.

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British Prime Minister Keir Starmer did not directly address calls for his resignation during Wednesday's King's Speech debate, as Health Secretary Wes Streeting is expected to trigger a Labour leadership contest as soon as Thursday. Streeting met Starmer for less than 20 minutes in Downing Street on Wednesday, with allies telling the BBC they expect him to launch a bid requiring the support of 81 Labour MPs. More than 90 Labour lawmakers have publicly called for Starmer to resign, while over 110 have expressed support for him to remain.

fr92

Former French PM Attal launches presidential campaign with book revealing Macron's snap election decision

Gabriel Attal, France's former prime minister, published a book on Tuesday detailing a conversation with President Emmanuel Macron five days before the 2024 European election, in which Macron rejected Attal's proposals for a cabinet reshuffle or referendums and later announced snap parliamentary elections by phone an hour before a televised address. The book marks Attal's formal entry into the 2027 presidential race, positioning him as a candidate while breaking with his former mentor.

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Gabriel Attal, France's former prime minister, published a book on Tuesday detailing a conversation with President Emmanuel Macron five days before the 2024 European election, in which Macron rejected Attal's proposals for a cabinet reshuffle or referendums and later announced snap parliamentary elections by phone an hour before a televised address. The book marks Attal's formal entry into the 2027 presidential race, positioning him as a candidate while breaking with his former mentor.

ua92

Zelenskyy at Bucharest Nine summit urges Europe to integrate Ukraine's combat experience into EU SAFE rearmament program and proposes bilateral drone deals

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on May 13 addressed the Bucharest Nine summit in Romania, calling for Europe to incorporate Ukraine's battlefield expertise into the EU's SAFE rearmament program and proposing bilateral drone deals with European countries. He argued that modern warfare requires not just weapons but real combat experience and rapid adaptation, which he said only Ukraine currently possesses. The summit took place as Russia launched its largest drone attack against western Ukraine, killing six civilians and reaching Zakarpattia Oblast for the first time.

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on May 13 addressed the Bucharest Nine summit in Romania, calling for Europe to incorporate Ukraine's battlefield expertise into the EU's SAFE rearmament program and proposing bilateral drone deals with European countries. He argued that modern warfare requires not just weapons but real combat experience and rapid adaptation, which he said only Ukraine currently possesses. The summit took place as Russia launched its largest drone attack against western Ukraine, killing six civilians and reaching Zakarpattia Oblast for the first time.

ua90

2025 deadliest year for Ukrainian civilians since full-scale invasion, ombudsman reports

Ukrainian Parliament Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets reported on May 13 that 2025 was the deadliest year for civilians since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion, with 2,514 civilians killed and 12,142 wounded. Since February 2022, Russia has killed 15,172 Ukrainian civilians, including 686 children, according to data from government-controlled territory. Lubinets noted that the true toll in occupied areas remains unknown as Russia does not disclose figures.

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Ukrainian Parliament Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets reported on May 13 that 2025 was the deadliest year for civilians since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion, with 2,514 civilians killed and 12,142 wounded. Since February 2022, Russia has killed 15,172 Ukrainian civilians, including 686 children, according to data from government-controlled territory. Lubinets noted that the true toll in occupied areas remains unknown as Russia does not disclose figures.

gb90

King Charles III delivers throne speech as UK PM Starmer faces leadership crisis

King Charles III delivered the traditional throne speech at Westminster on Wednesday, outlining the Labour government's legislative priorities for the coming year, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fought to remain in power amid a mounting leadership crisis. The ceremony, which included 37 proposed bills, was overshadowed by calls from 86 Labour MPs for Starmer's resignation following poor local election results and the resignation of four junior ministers. Starmer met with potential rival Health Secretary Wes Streeting for less than 20 minutes on Wednesday morning, fueling speculation about a leadership challenge.

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King Charles III delivered the traditional throne speech at Westminster on Wednesday, outlining the Labour government's legislative priorities for the coming year, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fought to remain in power amid a mounting leadership crisis. The ceremony, which included 37 proposed bills, was overshadowed by calls from 86 Labour MPs for Starmer's resignation following poor local election results and the resignation of four junior ministers. Starmer met with potential rival Health Secretary Wes Streeting for less than 20 minutes on Wednesday morning, fueling speculation about a leadership challenge.

fr88

Renaissance party endorses Attal for 2027 presidential bid, Borne resigns as council chair

Former prime minister Gabriel Attal won a formal endorsement from the Renaissance party's National Council on Tuesday evening, with 91% of votes backing his 2027 presidential candidacy. The motion calls on Attal, the party's secretary-general, to declare his bid by 1 October, pending a membership vote. The endorsement came after Elisabeth Borne resigned as council chair last week, citing disagreement with Attal's political direction.

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Former prime minister Gabriel Attal won a formal endorsement from the Renaissance party's National Council on Tuesday evening, with 91% of votes backing his 2027 presidential candidacy. The motion calls on Attal, the party's secretary-general, to declare his bid by 1 October, pending a membership vote. The endorsement came after Elisabeth Borne resigned as council chair last week, citing disagreement with Attal's political direction.

us88

Trump Says End of Russia-Ukraine War 'Very Close' as Russia Resumes Strikes After Ceasefire Expires

US President Donald Trump said Tuesday the end of Russia's war against Ukraine is "very close," expressing confidence in a settlement as he left for China. The comment came after a US-brokered three-day ceasefire expired May 11 and Russia resumed large-scale attacks, killing at least six people in Dnipropetrovsk region. President Volodymyr Zelensky cast doubt on the claim, saying Moscow showed no intention of ending the war.

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US President Donald Trump said Tuesday the end of Russia's war against Ukraine is "very close," expressing confidence in a settlement as he left for China. The comment came after a US-brokered three-day ceasefire expired May 11 and Russia resumed large-scale attacks, killing at least six people in Dnipropetrovsk region. President Volodymyr Zelensky cast doubt on the claim, saying Moscow showed no intention of ending the war.