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Global Briefing May 13

Trump's Ceasefires Unravel as He Lands in Beijing

Trump rejected Tehran's latest peace proposals as "garbage" and called the April 8 Iran ceasefire "on massive life support" as Energy Secretary Chris Wright told lawmakers Iran was "frighteningly close" to a nuclear weapon and a New York Times-reported assessment found Iran kept ~70% of its prewar missile stockpile; Russia ran 753 drones at Kyiv, Lviv and Odesa in one of the war's longest barrages, Wes Streeting prepared a Labour leadership bid against Keir Starmer after ~1,500 English council-seat losses, and Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon killed 21 across two days.

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us · United States

Trump Can't End Iran War, So He Changes Subject

This was the week the Iran war stopped being a foreign-policy story for Americans and became a domestic one: inflation hit a three-year high of 4.2%, petrol is up 39% since the fighting began, and a hundred days in the average household is $750 poorer. The economy is somehow still adding jobs. But unable to end the war that is driving the prices, the president spent the week fighting on every other front instead — his own last election, naturalised citizens, China, and the spy law that briefs him each morning.

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gb · United Kingdom

Britain Runs Out of Money for Defence and Order

John Healey's resignation as defence secretary was not an ordinary reshuffle: he walked out accusing Keir Starmer and the Treasury of refusing to pay for Britain's defence at the most dangerous moment since the Cold War, the week the entire fleet of attack submarines sat in dock. And as the state struggled to fund the things that keep a country safe abroad, it was visibly losing its grip on order at home — the Henry Nowak murder, riots in Belfast, a stabbing in a Manchester school. A government is meant to be able to do both. This one, this week, could do neither.

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fr · France

Lyhanna Murder Puts French State on Trial

The killing of 11-year-old Lyhanna did what no ordinary political crisis had managed: it put the French state itself in the dock. Her suspected killer had been accused of raping a 10-year-old the previous August and was never questioned. More than 60,000 people marched; the justice minister apologised and ordered a review of 70,000 abuse cases while refusing to resign; the far right demanded his head. Abroad, France was helping lead the diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine. At home, it could not protect a child it had been warned about.

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de · Germany

Merz Bets Germany's Future on Autonomy as US Pulls 5,000 Troops

Friedrich Merz has made his choice: a Germany less dependent on an America it no longer trusts. This week he absorbed the loss of 5,000 US troops pulled out over his criticism of the Iran war, killed the €100bn FCAS fighter jet with France, and offered Ukraine a seat inside the EU. It is a coherent bet on strategic autonomy. The catch is that the costs are arriving at home — a suspected extremist arson that blacked out 40,000 homes, and a record 85,837 politically motivated crimes — before the autonomy does.

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ua · Ukraine

Ukraine Offers to Freeze War by Escalating Strikes

Ukraine spent the week doing two things that only look contradictory: offering to freeze the war and fighting it harder than ever. Zelenskyy signalled he would accept halting the conflict along the current front line, and Europe lined up behind him. At the same time his long-range drones set Russia's fuel system alight, spreading petrol shortages to 25 regions. The escalation is not at odds with the peace offer — it is what gives the offer its weight. Whether Moscow ever picks it up depends less on the talks than on how dry Russia's pumps run.

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tr · Turkey

Erdoğan Declares Turkey a 'Playmaker' at Security Conference

Erdoğan spent the week looking indispensable to the world — mediating between Washington and Tehran, branding Turkey a regional 'playmaker', and savaging Netanyahu over Gaza. It is real influence, and it has a domestic use. The more the West needs Ankara, the freer his hand at home, where he has jailed his strongest rival and hundreds of opposition officials and will host NATO's leaders next month behind 40,000 security personnel. The same assertiveness that makes Turkey useful to Washington also had its jets harassing European defence ministers off Cyprus.

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Day in Review

All Events

Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

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fr95

France reports 22 hantavirus contacts, one patient in intensive care; government stresses transparency

France reported 22 contact cases of hantavirus on May 13, with one patient in intensive care, as the government adopted a strategy of transparency to avoid public panic. Many French people expressed reassurance, citing experience from the coronavirus pandemic, though some said they would consider wearing masks again. Opinion specialist Emmanuel Rivière said transparency is key to treating citizens as adults.

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France reported 22 contact cases of hantavirus on May 13, with one patient in intensive care, as the government adopted a strategy of transparency to avoid public panic. Many French people expressed reassurance, citing experience from the coronavirus pandemic, though some said they would consider wearing masks again. Opinion specialist Emmanuel Rivière said transparency is key to treating citizens as adults.

ua95

Russia abandons push on Stepnohirsk after heavy losses; average mobilized soldier survived 12 minutes

Russian forces are abandoning attempts to advance on Stepnohirsk in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Oblast after suffering heavy losses, according to Ihor Burdeinyi, commander of the 128th Separate Zakarpattia Mountain Assault Brigade. Burdeinyi said the average survival time of a newly mobilized Russian soldier there was around 12 minutes. The settlement remains fully under Ukrainian control, with no Russian troops inside.

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Russian forces are abandoning attempts to advance on Stepnohirsk in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Oblast after suffering heavy losses, according to Ihor Burdeinyi, commander of the 128th Separate Zakarpattia Mountain Assault Brigade. Burdeinyi said the average survival time of a newly mobilized Russian soldier there was around 12 minutes. The settlement remains fully under Ukrainian control, with no Russian troops inside.

de95

German auto industry warns of 225,000 job losses by 2035

The German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA) warned on May 13 that up to 225,000 jobs could be lost by 2035, 35,000 more than earlier forecasts. VDA President Hildegard Müller said the shift from combustion engines to electric vehicles is hitting suppliers hardest and pointed to a "serious and persistent location crisis" in Germany and Europe. The VDA added that greater technology openness could preserve up to 50,000 jobs.

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The German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA) warned on May 13 that up to 225,000 jobs could be lost by 2035, 35,000 more than earlier forecasts. VDA President Hildegard Müller said the shift from combustion engines to electric vehicles is hitting suppliers hardest and pointed to a "serious and persistent location crisis" in Germany and Europe. The VDA added that greater technology openness could preserve up to 50,000 jobs.

gb95

UK Health Secretary Wes Streeting prepares leadership challenge as Starmer faces mounting rebellion

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer did not directly address calls for his resignation during Wednesday's King's Speech debate, as Health Secretary Wes Streeting is expected to trigger a Labour leadership contest as soon as Thursday. Streeting met Starmer for less than 20 minutes in Downing Street on Wednesday, with allies telling the BBC they expect him to launch a bid requiring the support of 81 Labour MPs. More than 90 Labour lawmakers have publicly called for Starmer to resign, while over 110 have expressed support for him to remain.

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British Prime Minister Keir Starmer did not directly address calls for his resignation during Wednesday's King's Speech debate, as Health Secretary Wes Streeting is expected to trigger a Labour leadership contest as soon as Thursday. Streeting met Starmer for less than 20 minutes in Downing Street on Wednesday, with allies telling the BBC they expect him to launch a bid requiring the support of 81 Labour MPs. More than 90 Labour lawmakers have publicly called for Starmer to resign, while over 110 have expressed support for him to remain.

fr92

Former French PM Attal launches presidential campaign with book revealing Macron's snap election decision

Gabriel Attal, France's former prime minister, published a book on Tuesday detailing a conversation with President Emmanuel Macron five days before the 2024 European election, in which Macron rejected Attal's proposals for a cabinet reshuffle or referendums and later announced snap parliamentary elections by phone an hour before a televised address. The book marks Attal's formal entry into the 2027 presidential race, positioning him as a candidate while breaking with his former mentor.

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Gabriel Attal, France's former prime minister, published a book on Tuesday detailing a conversation with President Emmanuel Macron five days before the 2024 European election, in which Macron rejected Attal's proposals for a cabinet reshuffle or referendums and later announced snap parliamentary elections by phone an hour before a televised address. The book marks Attal's formal entry into the 2027 presidential race, positioning him as a candidate while breaking with his former mentor.

ua92

Zelenskyy at Bucharest Nine summit urges Europe to integrate Ukraine's combat experience into EU SAFE rearmament program and proposes bilateral drone deals

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on May 13 addressed the Bucharest Nine summit in Romania, calling for Europe to incorporate Ukraine's battlefield expertise into the EU's SAFE rearmament program and proposing bilateral drone deals with European countries. He argued that modern warfare requires not just weapons but real combat experience and rapid adaptation, which he said only Ukraine currently possesses. The summit took place as Russia launched its largest drone attack against western Ukraine, killing six civilians and reaching Zakarpattia Oblast for the first time.

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on May 13 addressed the Bucharest Nine summit in Romania, calling for Europe to incorporate Ukraine's battlefield expertise into the EU's SAFE rearmament program and proposing bilateral drone deals with European countries. He argued that modern warfare requires not just weapons but real combat experience and rapid adaptation, which he said only Ukraine currently possesses. The summit took place as Russia launched its largest drone attack against western Ukraine, killing six civilians and reaching Zakarpattia Oblast for the first time.

ua90

2025 deadliest year for Ukrainian civilians since full-scale invasion, ombudsman reports

Ukrainian Parliament Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets reported on May 13 that 2025 was the deadliest year for civilians since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion, with 2,514 civilians killed and 12,142 wounded. Since February 2022, Russia has killed 15,172 Ukrainian civilians, including 686 children, according to data from government-controlled territory. Lubinets noted that the true toll in occupied areas remains unknown as Russia does not disclose figures.

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Ukrainian Parliament Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets reported on May 13 that 2025 was the deadliest year for civilians since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion, with 2,514 civilians killed and 12,142 wounded. Since February 2022, Russia has killed 15,172 Ukrainian civilians, including 686 children, according to data from government-controlled territory. Lubinets noted that the true toll in occupied areas remains unknown as Russia does not disclose figures.

gb90

King Charles III delivers throne speech as UK PM Starmer faces leadership crisis

King Charles III delivered the traditional throne speech at Westminster on Wednesday, outlining the Labour government's legislative priorities for the coming year, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fought to remain in power amid a mounting leadership crisis. The ceremony, which included 37 proposed bills, was overshadowed by calls from 86 Labour MPs for Starmer's resignation following poor local election results and the resignation of four junior ministers. Starmer met with potential rival Health Secretary Wes Streeting for less than 20 minutes on Wednesday morning, fueling speculation about a leadership challenge.

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King Charles III delivered the traditional throne speech at Westminster on Wednesday, outlining the Labour government's legislative priorities for the coming year, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer fought to remain in power amid a mounting leadership crisis. The ceremony, which included 37 proposed bills, was overshadowed by calls from 86 Labour MPs for Starmer's resignation following poor local election results and the resignation of four junior ministers. Starmer met with potential rival Health Secretary Wes Streeting for less than 20 minutes on Wednesday morning, fueling speculation about a leadership challenge.

fr88

Renaissance party endorses Attal for 2027 presidential bid, Borne resigns as council chair

Former prime minister Gabriel Attal won a formal endorsement from the Renaissance party's National Council on Tuesday evening, with 91% of votes backing his 2027 presidential candidacy. The motion calls on Attal, the party's secretary-general, to declare his bid by 1 October, pending a membership vote. The endorsement came after Elisabeth Borne resigned as council chair last week, citing disagreement with Attal's political direction.

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Former prime minister Gabriel Attal won a formal endorsement from the Renaissance party's National Council on Tuesday evening, with 91% of votes backing his 2027 presidential candidacy. The motion calls on Attal, the party's secretary-general, to declare his bid by 1 October, pending a membership vote. The endorsement came after Elisabeth Borne resigned as council chair last week, citing disagreement with Attal's political direction.

us88

Trump Says End of Russia-Ukraine War 'Very Close' as Russia Resumes Strikes After Ceasefire Expires

US President Donald Trump said Tuesday the end of Russia's war against Ukraine is "very close," expressing confidence in a settlement as he left for China. The comment came after a US-brokered three-day ceasefire expired May 11 and Russia resumed large-scale attacks, killing at least six people in Dnipropetrovsk region. President Volodymyr Zelensky cast doubt on the claim, saying Moscow showed no intention of ending the war.

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US President Donald Trump said Tuesday the end of Russia's war against Ukraine is "very close," expressing confidence in a settlement as he left for China. The comment came after a US-brokered three-day ceasefire expired May 11 and Russia resumed large-scale attacks, killing at least six people in Dnipropetrovsk region. President Volodymyr Zelensky cast doubt on the claim, saying Moscow showed no intention of ending the war.