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Global Briefing May 11

EU Sanctions Russia Over Ukrainian Children; Hormuz Crisis Grows

Kaja Kallas declared Putin "in a weaker position than ever before" as the EU, UK and Canada coordinated sanctions on 85+ Russian individuals over the deportation of Ukrainian children, and EU ministers cleared long-stalled measures on West Bank settlers. Trump's Truth Social attack on Justices Barrett and Gorsuch over the $159 billion February tariff ruling landed as allies keep hedging post-Iran-war Washington — 440 kg of Iran's 60% enriched uranium is still unaccounted for, the Hormuz blockade is accelerating a China-led renewables shift, and Taiwanese civilians are signing up for self-defence ahead of Thursday's Trump-Xi summit.

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us · United States

Trump Opens Iran War and Midterm Campaigns

Trump entered the ninth night of renewed strikes on Iran with US service members dead, gasoline back at $4 and a $1.15tn defence bill blocked in the Senate. He then used a primetime address to claim China obtained 220m voter files, though his own declassified documents showed no altered votes. TSMC promised another $100bn for US fabs as the White House searched for an economic counter-story.

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gb · United Kingdom

Andy Burnham Promises Circuit Breaker for UK State

Andy Burnham entered Downing Street promising a ten-year “circuit breaker” after Britain’s seventh change of prime minister since 2016. He scrapped a £1.8bn digital-ID plan and ordered cost-of-living relief, but debt exceeds 95% of GDP and the IMF says fiscal room is tight. An official finding that MI5 misled three courts made his promise to restore public trust more than campaign rhetoric.

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fr · France

Macron Ties France to Germany in Nuclear Deterrence Pact

Macron used his final Bastille week to place German forces inside a French nuclear exercise and offer Berlin co-production of SAMP/T NG, even as the common tank project lost its tank. Mélenchon threatened to break the arrangement and Elon Musk called Marine Le Pen France’s “last hope.” At home, Parliament passed assisted dying 291–241 while a pesticide amendment put a 78-article farm bill at risk.

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de · Germany

Merz Builds Stronger Security State Before AfD Rise

Germany raised its threat level from “abstract” to “high” as Russian influence operations favoured the AfD and an Iranian newspaper named Friedrich Merz on a revenge list. Berlin is preparing active powers for its intelligence agencies while joining a French nuclear exercise and licensing €2.5bn of arms for Ukraine. With the AfD above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt, the powers built for today’s threats could belong to tomorrow’s government.

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ua · Ukraine

Zelensky Dismisses Fedorov Amid Ukraine War Ministry Crisis

Zelensky removed Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov after his feud with Oleksandr Syrskyi became unworkable, drawing protests in at least 16 cities and an ultimatum for 24 July. The rupture came as 145 Russian troops infiltrated Kostiantynivka, a Ukrainian drone destroyed a Tu-95 at Engels-2, and Russian missiles killed 10 people aboard the grain carrier Golden Leo.

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tr · Turkey

Turkey's Montreux Convention Outlasts Erdoğan's Emergency Politics

Turkey marked 90 years of the Montreux Convention by destroying an explosive drone that washed ashore in Istanbul, proof that control of the straits cannot contain every Black Sea risk. The anniversary followed a decade since the failed coup, as Özgür Özel prepared a breakaway party and another CHP mayor was detained. Abroad, Ankara pursued influence in Ukraine and Syria without choosing a camp.

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Day in Review

All Events

Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

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ua95

Kallas says Putin 'in weaker position than ever before' as EU pushes Ukraine accession by August and sanctions Russian child-deportation officials

EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, speaking after a meeting of EU foreign ministers, said Russian President Vladimir Putin was "in a weaker position than he has been ever before" on the back of record battlefield losses, Ukrainian deep strikes inside Russia and growing domestic discontent, and called for all EU-Ukraine accession negotiation clusters to be opened by August. The ministers adopted new sanctions on 16 individuals and seven entities in Russia and occupied Ukrainian territories for the "systematic unlawful deportation of Ukrainian children," alongside a separate, long-stalled package targeting violent Israeli settlers in the West Bank and leading Hamas figures. Kallas rejected former German chancellor Gerhard Schröder as a Ukraine mediator and called Putin's latest ceasefire overtures "very cynical."

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EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, speaking after a meeting of EU foreign ministers, said Russian President Vladimir Putin was "in a weaker position than he has been ever before" on the back of record battlefield losses, Ukrainian deep strikes inside Russia and growing domestic discontent, and called for all EU-Ukraine accession negotiation clusters to be opened by August. The ministers adopted new sanctions on 16 individuals and seven entities in Russia and occupied Ukrainian territories for the "systematic unlawful deportation of Ukrainian children," alongside a separate, long-stalled package targeting violent Israeli settlers in the West Bank and leading Hamas figures. Kallas rejected former German chancellor Gerhard Schröder as a Ukraine mediator and called Putin's latest ceasefire overtures "very cynical."

gb95

Starmer moves to fully nationalise British Steel after Jingye sale fails, citing national-security need for virgin steel

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer announced legislation to be tabled this week giving the government full ownership of British Steel's Scunthorpe plant after talks with Chinese owner Jingye failed to produce an acceptable commercial sale, 13 months after the state seized operational control to keep its blast furnaces — the United Kingdom's last virgin-steel capacity — from being shut down. The move, framed as protecting 2,700 direct jobs and the rail, construction and automotive supply chain, is subject to a public-interest test covering national security, critical national infrastructure and the economy. Support is set to reach £615 million ($836 million) by June, with government spending running at about £1 million a day; the National Audit Office has warned outlays could exceed £1.5 billion by 2028.

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Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer announced legislation to be tabled this week giving the government full ownership of British Steel's Scunthorpe plant after talks with Chinese owner Jingye failed to produce an acceptable commercial sale, 13 months after the state seized operational control to keep its blast furnaces — the United Kingdom's last virgin-steel capacity — from being shut down. The move, framed as protecting 2,700 direct jobs and the rail, construction and automotive supply chain, is subject to a public-interest test covering national security, critical national infrastructure and the economy. Support is set to reach £615 million ($836 million) by June, with government spending running at about £1 million a day; the National Audit Office has warned outlays could exceed £1.5 billion by 2028.

tr95

Antalya's former CHP mayor confesses to paying €1 million for 2024 nomination as Imamoğlu espionage trial opens in Istanbul

Former Antalya mayor Muhittin Böcek told Turkish prosecutors he paid €1 million ($1.17 million) to the Republican People's Party (CHP) leadership in exchange for the party's 2024 mayoral nomination, making him the second jailed CHP mayor to invoke the country's remorse law for a reduced sentence. His son Mustafa Gökhan Böcek testified on May 2 that he had carried the cash to CHP headquarters in a backpack after CHP chair Özgür Özel and lawmaker Veli Ağbaba demanded the sum; authorities have since ordered the seizure of all assets belonging to the former mayor, his son and his daughter-in-law Zuhal Böcek, who was detained on April 30 on money-laundering charges. Separately, the first hearing opened on Monday in the espionage case against jailed former Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, his campaign adviser Necati Özkan, businessman Hüseyin Gün and journalist Merdan Yanardağ, who face up to 20 years on charges of passing Turkish-citizen data to foreign intelligence services.

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Former Antalya mayor Muhittin Böcek told Turkish prosecutors he paid €1 million ($1.17 million) to the Republican People's Party (CHP) leadership in exchange for the party's 2024 mayoral nomination, making him the second jailed CHP mayor to invoke the country's remorse law for a reduced sentence. His son Mustafa Gökhan Böcek testified on May 2 that he had carried the cash to CHP headquarters in a backpack after CHP chair Özgür Özel and lawmaker Veli Ağbaba demanded the sum; authorities have since ordered the seizure of all assets belonging to the former mayor, his son and his daughter-in-law Zuhal Böcek, who was detained on April 30 on money-laundering charges. Separately, the first hearing opened on Monday in the espionage case against jailed former Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, his campaign adviser Necati Özkan, businessman Hüseyin Gün and journalist Merdan Yanardağ, who face up to 20 years on charges of passing Turkish-citizen data to foreign intelligence services.

ua92

Ukrainian drones strike key Russian logistics corridor to Crimea

Russian military bloggers reported on May 11 that Ukrainian drones are striking a key logistics corridor linking occupied Crimea with southern Ukraine, targeting the highway from Taganrog to Dzhankoi. Pro-war blogger Alexei Zhivov called the attacks “an extremely alarming signal,” claiming Ukraine is using long-range drones with Starlink systems. Another blogger, Vladimir Romanov, said drones hit the Mariupol-Berdiansk section at distances up to 160 km from the front line.

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Russian military bloggers reported on May 11 that Ukrainian drones are striking a key logistics corridor linking occupied Crimea with southern Ukraine, targeting the highway from Taganrog to Dzhankoi. Pro-war blogger Alexei Zhivov called the attacks “an extremely alarming signal,” claiming Ukraine is using long-range drones with Starlink systems. Another blogger, Vladimir Romanov, said drones hit the Mariupol-Berdiansk section at distances up to 160 km from the front line.

us90

Trump publicly rebukes Justices Barrett and Gorsuch over February tariff ruling, warns Court off birthright citizenship case

In a long Truth Social post on Sunday, US President Donald Trump named Supreme Court Justices Amy Coney Barrett and Neil Gorsuch — both his own appointees — and accused them of having "hurt our Country so badly" by joining the 6-3 February decision that struck down his emergency-statute tariffs, which he said had cost the United States $159 billion in refunds. Trump openly invoked the question of loyalty owed to the president who appointed them, and used the same post to warn the Court against a "negative ruling" on his executive order repealing birthright citizenship, which he called "not Economically sustainable" on top of the tariff decision.

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In a long Truth Social post on Sunday, US President Donald Trump named Supreme Court Justices Amy Coney Barrett and Neil Gorsuch — both his own appointees — and accused them of having "hurt our Country so badly" by joining the 6-3 February decision that struck down his emergency-statute tariffs, which he said had cost the United States $159 billion in refunds. Trump openly invoked the question of loyalty owed to the president who appointed them, and used the same post to warn the Court against a "negative ruling" on his executive order repealing birthright citizenship, which he called "not Economically sustainable" on top of the tariff decision.

de90

German business confidence falls to pandemic-era low one year into Merz's chancellorship as industry groups warn of 'existential threat'

One year after Friedrich Merz took office promising an "economic turning point," the ifo Institute's business-confidence index has fallen to its lowest level since May 2020, with bankruptcies at their highest in more than a decade and pessimistic expectations tied to the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz blockade and high oil prices. The Federation of German Industries said almost none of the structural reforms promised have been delivered and that Germany's position as an industrial centre is "under existential threat," with what investment there is going abroad. Merz, addressing the CDU's Economic Day in early May 2026 — the same forum that had cheered him a year earlier — said he understood the "dire" mood but blamed coalition arithmetic with the SPD: "You don't change a country in a week or a month."

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One year after Friedrich Merz took office promising an "economic turning point," the ifo Institute's business-confidence index has fallen to its lowest level since May 2020, with bankruptcies at their highest in more than a decade and pessimistic expectations tied to the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz blockade and high oil prices. The Federation of German Industries said almost none of the structural reforms promised have been delivered and that Germany's position as an industrial centre is "under existential threat," with what investment there is going abroad. Merz, addressing the CDU's Economic Day in early May 2026 — the same forum that had cheered him a year earlier — said he understood the "dire" mood but blamed coalition arithmetic with the SPD: "You don't change a country in a week or a month."

tr90

Turkish opposition leader accuses justice minister of wiretapping President Erdogan

CHP leader Ozgur Ozel on May 8 accused Justice Minister Akin Gurlek of wiretapping President Tayyip Erdogan via an encrypted phone, repeating the claim at a rally in Rize on May 9. Ozel alleged that Gurlek, while still Istanbul chief public prosecutor, communicated directly with Erdogan using a cryptophone, bypassing then-Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunc, and may now be using that device to eavesdrop on the president. The accusation comes amid a widening crackdown on CHP municipalities and the ongoing detention of Antalya Mayor Muhittin Bocek, who on May 10 applied for effective remorse and gave a confession statement.

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CHP leader Ozgur Ozel on May 8 accused Justice Minister Akin Gurlek of wiretapping President Tayyip Erdogan via an encrypted phone, repeating the claim at a rally in Rize on May 9. Ozel alleged that Gurlek, while still Istanbul chief public prosecutor, communicated directly with Erdogan using a cryptophone, bypassing then-Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunc, and may now be using that device to eavesdrop on the president. The accusation comes amid a widening crackdown on CHP municipalities and the ongoing detention of Antalya Mayor Muhittin Bocek, who on May 10 applied for effective remorse and gave a confession statement.

fr88

Macron pledges €23 billion in African investment at Nairobi summit, backs French law on artefact restitution

At the Africa Forward summit in Nairobi co-hosted by Kenyan President William Ruto, French President Emmanuel Macron announced €23 billion in investment for Africa — €14 billion from French public and private entities and €9 billion from African investors — targeting energy transition, digital and AI, the maritime economy and agriculture, with a projected 250,000 direct jobs in France and Africa. Macron also backed France's new law easing the return of colonial-era looted artefacts, calling the shift "irreversible and unstoppable." Deals worth more than €850 million were announced over the weekend, including CMA CGM's €700 million plan to modernise a terminal at Kenya's Mombasa port.

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At the Africa Forward summit in Nairobi co-hosted by Kenyan President William Ruto, French President Emmanuel Macron announced €23 billion in investment for Africa — €14 billion from French public and private entities and €9 billion from African investors — targeting energy transition, digital and AI, the maritime economy and agriculture, with a projected 250,000 direct jobs in France and Africa. Macron also backed France's new law easing the return of colonial-era looted artefacts, calling the shift "irreversible and unstoppable." Deals worth more than €850 million were announced over the weekend, including CMA CGM's €700 million plan to modernise a terminal at Kenya's Mombasa port.

ua88

Ukrainian Air Assault Forces adopt VR simulators and drone killer training

The 199th Training Center of Ukraine's Air Assault Forces has integrated virtual reality simulators, including “Dronobiy” (drone killer) trainers, into its basic and specialized programs, Colonel Oleksandr Klymenko, Chief of Staff and Deputy Commander of the center, said in an interview with Ukrinform. The simulators allow troops to practice engaging aerial targets and operating anti-tank weapons without live ammunition. The center also expanded use of airsoft equipment in 2024 and is developing laser-based combat simulation systems.

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The 199th Training Center of Ukraine's Air Assault Forces has integrated virtual reality simulators, including “Dronobiy” (drone killer) trainers, into its basic and specialized programs, Colonel Oleksandr Klymenko, Chief of Staff and Deputy Commander of the center, said in an interview with Ukrinform. The simulators allow troops to practice engaging aerial targets and operating anti-tank weapons without live ammunition. The center also expanded use of airsoft equipment in 2024 and is developing laser-based combat simulation systems.

de88

Germany warns Russia uses organized crime for assassinations and sabotage

The German government warned that Russian intelligence services are increasingly outsourcing assassination and sabotage operations to organized crime networks, citing the benefit of "plausible deniability" for the Kremlin. The warning came in a response to a parliamentary inquiry by the Greens, seen by the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. Marcel Emmerich, the Greens' interior expert, said the growing ties between Russian state structures and criminal actors pose a threat to Germany's internal security.

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The German government warned that Russian intelligence services are increasingly outsourcing assassination and sabotage operations to organized crime networks, citing the benefit of "plausible deniability" for the Kremlin. The warning came in a response to a parliamentary inquiry by the Greens, seen by the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. Marcel Emmerich, the Greens' interior expert, said the growing ties between Russian state structures and criminal actors pose a threat to Germany's internal security.