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Global Briefing May 24

Trump Claims Iran Deal as Russian Missiles Hit Kyiv, Gas Tops $4.56

Trump said a US-Iran deal is "largely negotiated, subject to finalization", the New York Times reported Tehran would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and US gas hit $4.56. Russia hit Kyiv with 90 missiles, 600 drones and an Oreshnik, damaging the Cabinet of Ministers and killing four; the EU's Kaja Kallas branded the Oreshnik use "reckless nuclear-brinkmanship" and Ukraine struck back at the Tamanneftegaz terminal. UK AISI said Claude Mythos and GPT-5.5 took over networks 60 and 30 percent of the time; WCK halved Gaza meals to 500,000 daily; and Ebola spread from Congo into Uganda.

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us · United States

Trump Can't End Iran War, So He Changes Subject

This was the week the Iran war stopped being a foreign-policy story for Americans and became a domestic one: inflation hit a three-year high of 4.2%, petrol is up 39% since the fighting began, and a hundred days in the average household is $750 poorer. The economy is somehow still adding jobs. But unable to end the war that is driving the prices, the president spent the week fighting on every other front instead — his own last election, naturalised citizens, China, and the spy law that briefs him each morning.

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gb · United Kingdom

Britain Runs Out of Money for Defence and Order

John Healey's resignation as defence secretary was not an ordinary reshuffle: he walked out accusing Keir Starmer and the Treasury of refusing to pay for Britain's defence at the most dangerous moment since the Cold War, the week the entire fleet of attack submarines sat in dock. And as the state struggled to fund the things that keep a country safe abroad, it was visibly losing its grip on order at home — the Henry Nowak murder, riots in Belfast, a stabbing in a Manchester school. A government is meant to be able to do both. This one, this week, could do neither.

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fr · France

Lyhanna Murder Puts French State on Trial

The killing of 11-year-old Lyhanna did what no ordinary political crisis had managed: it put the French state itself in the dock. Her suspected killer had been accused of raping a 10-year-old the previous August and was never questioned. More than 60,000 people marched; the justice minister apologised and ordered a review of 70,000 abuse cases while refusing to resign; the far right demanded his head. Abroad, France was helping lead the diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine. At home, it could not protect a child it had been warned about.

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de · Germany

Merz Bets Germany's Future on Autonomy as US Pulls 5,000 Troops

Friedrich Merz has made his choice: a Germany less dependent on an America it no longer trusts. This week he absorbed the loss of 5,000 US troops pulled out over his criticism of the Iran war, killed the €100bn FCAS fighter jet with France, and offered Ukraine a seat inside the EU. It is a coherent bet on strategic autonomy. The catch is that the costs are arriving at home — a suspected extremist arson that blacked out 40,000 homes, and a record 85,837 politically motivated crimes — before the autonomy does.

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ua · Ukraine

Ukraine Offers to Freeze War by Escalating Strikes

Ukraine spent the week doing two things that only look contradictory: offering to freeze the war and fighting it harder than ever. Zelenskyy signalled he would accept halting the conflict along the current front line, and Europe lined up behind him. At the same time his long-range drones set Russia's fuel system alight, spreading petrol shortages to 25 regions. The escalation is not at odds with the peace offer — it is what gives the offer its weight. Whether Moscow ever picks it up depends less on the talks than on how dry Russia's pumps run.

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tr · Turkey

Erdoğan Declares Turkey a 'Playmaker' at Security Conference

Erdoğan spent the week looking indispensable to the world — mediating between Washington and Tehran, branding Turkey a regional 'playmaker', and savaging Netanyahu over Gaza. It is real influence, and it has a domestic use. The more the West needs Ankara, the freer his hand at home, where he has jailed his strongest rival and hundreds of opposition officials and will host NATO's leaders next month behind 40,000 security personnel. The same assertiveness that makes Turkey useful to Washington also had its jets harassing European defence ministers off Cyprus.

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Day in Review

All Events

Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

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us100

Trump says US-Iran agreement 'largely negotiated' as Tehran backs draft plan to reopen Hormuz

President Trump said on May 24 that an agreement between the United States, Iran "and the various other countries" to end the two-month war "has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization", with the terms discussed in a "very good call" with regional leaders and separately with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The New York Times, citing three senior Iranian officials, reported Tehran has agreed to a draft plan to end fighting and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The announcement follows Trump's May 19 decision to postpone planned strikes as Gulf leaders said a deal was close, and his May 20 call with Netanyahu over a Qatar- and Pakistan-drafted peace memo.

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President Trump said on May 24 that an agreement between the United States, Iran "and the various other countries" to end the two-month war "has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization", with the terms discussed in a "very good call" with regional leaders and separately with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The New York Times, citing three senior Iranian officials, reported Tehran has agreed to a draft plan to end fighting and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The announcement follows Trump's May 19 decision to postpone planned strikes as Gulf leaders said a deal was close, and his May 20 call with Netanyahu over a Qatar- and Pakistan-drafted peace memo.

us98

US national average gas price hits $4.56 as Iran war strains summer travel

The national average price of gasoline in the United States rose to $4.56 a gallon on Wednesday, the highest level this year, as Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupts global energy supplies. Every state has now topped $4 a gallon, with Washington state setting an all-time record at $5.79 and Alaska averaging $5.27. The spike has become a central political issue ahead of the Memorial Day weekend, with both Democrats and Republicans criticizing the White House's handling of the crisis.

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The national average price of gasoline in the United States rose to $4.56 a gallon on Wednesday, the highest level this year, as Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupts global energy supplies. Every state has now topped $4 a gallon, with Washington state setting an all-time record at $5.79 and Alaska averaging $5.27. The spike has become a central political issue ahead of the Memorial Day weekend, with both Democrats and Republicans criticizing the White House's handling of the crisis.

ua98

Russia strikes Ukrainian Cabinet of Ministers and Foreign Ministry in 90-missile, 600-drone Kyiv attack

Russia struck Kyiv overnight on May 23-24 with 90 missiles and 600 drones, including an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile, damaging the Cabinet of Ministers and Foreign Ministry buildings, two museums, a philharmonic hall, a theatre, a library, a university, a church, a monastery and around 30 residential buildings. Two people were killed and 81 injured in the capital; four were killed and roughly 100 injured across Ukraine, and a Hrushevskoho Street block containing President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's flat was hit. The attack follows May 20 strikes that killed four across six regions and a 1,567-drone, 56-missile two-day assault on May 13-14.

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Russia struck Kyiv overnight on May 23-24 with 90 missiles and 600 drones, including an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile, damaging the Cabinet of Ministers and Foreign Ministry buildings, two museums, a philharmonic hall, a theatre, a library, a university, a church, a monastery and around 30 residential buildings. Two people were killed and 81 injured in the capital; four were killed and roughly 100 injured across Ukraine, and a Hrushevskoho Street block containing President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's flat was hit. The attack follows May 20 strikes that killed four across six regions and a 1,567-drone, 56-missile two-day assault on May 13-14.

ua96

World leaders condemn 'state terrorism' after massive Russian assault on Kyiv

A broad coalition of international heads of state and foreign ministers condemned Russia's overnight aerial bombardment of Kyiv on May 24, with several capitals labeling the operation an act of state terrorism. The attack involved 90 missiles and 600 strike and decoy drones, hitting over 40 locations, killing two civilians and wounding 77 others. Albania's ambassador was directly endangered when a weapon struck his residential complex, prompting Tirana to summon Russia's ambassador.

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A broad coalition of international heads of state and foreign ministers condemned Russia's overnight aerial bombardment of Kyiv on May 24, with several capitals labeling the operation an act of state terrorism. The attack involved 90 missiles and 600 strike and decoy drones, hitting over 40 locations, killing two civilians and wounding 77 others. Albania's ambassador was directly endangered when a weapon struck his residential complex, prompting Tirana to summon Russia's ambassador.

gb95

Thames Valley Police add 2002 Royal Ascot allegation to Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor inquiry as US delays handing over Epstein documents

Thames Valley Police are investigating an allegation, reported by the Sunday Times, that Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor behaved inappropriately towards a woman at Royal Ascot in 2002, the year of Queen Elizabeth II's Golden Jubilee, as the force widens its inquiry to cover sexual misconduct alongside an existing probe for misconduct in public office. The king's brother, who denies all wrongdoing, was arrested on his 66th birthday in February after the release of US Department of Justice documents that alleged he had passed information to Jeffrey Epstein; TVP is also assessing a separate claim from a US-resident woman that she was taken to a Windsor address in 2010 for sexual purposes. UK forces still only hold printouts from the US DoJ website, with US authorities declining to release originals and telling British police that a formal international legal request "could take months, if it is agreed to at all".

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Thames Valley Police are investigating an allegation, reported by the Sunday Times, that Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor behaved inappropriately towards a woman at Royal Ascot in 2002, the year of Queen Elizabeth II's Golden Jubilee, as the force widens its inquiry to cover sexual misconduct alongside an existing probe for misconduct in public office. The king's brother, who denies all wrongdoing, was arrested on his 66th birthday in February after the release of US Department of Justice documents that alleged he had passed information to Jeffrey Epstein; TVP is also assessing a separate claim from a US-resident woman that she was taken to a Windsor address in 2010 for sexual purposes. UK forces still only hold printouts from the US DoJ website, with US authorities declining to release originals and telling British police that a formal international legal request "could take months, if it is agreed to at all".

tr95

Türkiye opens Akhalkalaki-Kars freight rail to Armenian trade as Pashinyan hails access to EU and Russia-China corridors

Türkiye and Armenia opened the Akhalkalaki-Kars railway line to Armenian imports and exports on May 24, with Türkiye's special representative for normalisation Serdar Kılıç saying the move would "improve quadruple cooperation among Türkiye, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia" and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan thanking partners in Türkiye and Georgia. Pashinyan said the route gives Armenia rail access to Russia via Georgia and Azerbaijan, to China via Russia and Kazakhstan, and strengthens its connection with the European Union through Türkiye and Georgia. He added that rail links with Türkiye, Azerbaijan and Iran were expected to follow, capping a normalisation track that earlier this month included Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz's visit to Yerevan and the signing of a joint deal to restore the ancient Ani Bridge.

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Türkiye and Armenia opened the Akhalkalaki-Kars railway line to Armenian imports and exports on May 24, with Türkiye's special representative for normalisation Serdar Kılıç saying the move would "improve quadruple cooperation among Türkiye, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia" and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan thanking partners in Türkiye and Georgia. Pashinyan said the route gives Armenia rail access to Russia via Georgia and Azerbaijan, to China via Russia and Kazakhstan, and strengthens its connection with the European Union through Türkiye and Georgia. He added that rail links with Türkiye, Azerbaijan and Iran were expected to follow, capping a normalisation track that earlier this month included Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz's visit to Yerevan and the signing of a joint deal to restore the ancient Ani Bridge.

us90

Anthropic and OpenAI advanced AI models demonstrate unprecedented hacking capabilities, raising cyberattack concerns

Anthropic's Claude Mythos and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 have shown the ability to identify and exploit software vulnerabilities at a pace exceeding human experts, according to nine cybersecurity researchers and tech leaders who tested the models. The UK's AI Security Institute found Mythos could fully take over a corporate network in 60% of attempts, while GPT-5.5 succeeded in 30% of tries. The Trump administration has delayed signing an executive order that would establish voluntary AI model testing, amid concerns about stifling innovation.

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Anthropic's Claude Mythos and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 have shown the ability to identify and exploit software vulnerabilities at a pace exceeding human experts, according to nine cybersecurity researchers and tech leaders who tested the models. The UK's AI Security Institute found Mythos could fully take over a corporate network in 60% of attempts, while GPT-5.5 succeeded in 30% of tries. The Trump administration has delayed signing an executive order that would establish voluntary AI model testing, amid concerns about stifling innovation.

gb90

UK staple food prices surge: eggs, milk, and bread costs driven by avian flu, Ukraine war, and energy crisis

The average price of a box of six supermarket own-brand free-range eggs has risen from £1 in 2022 to £1.80 today, while four pints of semi-skimmed milk increased from £1.29 to £1.65 and a loaf of basic white bread from 65p to 74p, according to market researchers Assosia. The increases are attributed to the UK's worst avian flu outbreak between 2021 and 2023, Russia's invasion of Ukraine driving up grain and energy costs, and ongoing Middle East conflict. Producer input prices rose 7.7% in the year to April, the biggest increase in over three years, while factory gate prices rose only 4%.

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The average price of a box of six supermarket own-brand free-range eggs has risen from £1 in 2022 to £1.80 today, while four pints of semi-skimmed milk increased from £1.29 to £1.65 and a loaf of basic white bread from 65p to 74p, according to market researchers Assosia. The increases are attributed to the UK's worst avian flu outbreak between 2021 and 2023, Russia's invasion of Ukraine driving up grain and energy costs, and ongoing Middle East conflict. Producer input prices rose 7.7% in the year to April, the biggest increase in over three years, while factory gate prices rose only 4%.

fr88

Mistral and Dust founders warn Europe risks US 'digital colonialism' in AI

French AI startup founders Gabriel Hubert of Dust and Arthur Mensch of Mistral AI warn the conditions for long-term European AI sovereignty are not in place. Mensch told a National Assembly commission on structural digital dependencies on May 12 that Europeans "do not have the time" before they risk a form of US "digital colonialism" and an EU reduced to a "vassal state". Hubert invokes de Gaulle's industrial policy and France's TGV and nuclear-plant programmes as the comparable scale of effort, warning that without low-cost, low-carbon, secure sovereign AI Europe will simply buy it from the Americans.

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French AI startup founders Gabriel Hubert of Dust and Arthur Mensch of Mistral AI warn the conditions for long-term European AI sovereignty are not in place. Mensch told a National Assembly commission on structural digital dependencies on May 12 that Europeans "do not have the time" before they risk a form of US "digital colonialism" and an EU reduced to a "vassal state". Hubert invokes de Gaulle's industrial policy and France's TGV and nuclear-plant programmes as the comparable scale of effort, warning that without low-cost, low-carbon, secure sovereign AI Europe will simply buy it from the Americans.

us85

Texas Republican Senate runoff between Paxton and Cornyn could open door for Democrat Talarico

Texas voters go to the polls on Tuesday for a Republican Senate primary runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton, endorsed by President Donald Trump, and incumbent Senator John Cornyn. The winner will face Democratic state Representative James Talarico in November’s midterm election. Polls show Talarico tied with or leading both Republican candidates, raising the possibility of a Democratic flip in a state that has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994.

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Texas voters go to the polls on Tuesday for a Republican Senate primary runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton, endorsed by President Donald Trump, and incumbent Senator John Cornyn. The winner will face Democratic state Representative James Talarico in November’s midterm election. Polls show Talarico tied with or leading both Republican candidates, raising the possibility of a Democratic flip in a state that has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994.