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Global Briefing May 23

Iran War Afterlife: Brooklyn Arrest, Berlin EU Compromise Fails, Paris Bars Ben-Gvir

Federal prosecutors charged Iraqi national Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood Al-Saadi over a plot to kill Ivanka Trump in revenge for the 2020 strike on Qasem Soleimani; the U-Mich consumer sentiment index fell to a record 44.2. Ukrainian drones halted Metafrax Chemical 1,700 km inside Russia in Perm and hit the Sheskharis terminal at Novorossiysk. Volodymyr Zelenskyy rejected Friedrich Merz's "associate" EU offer. France banned Itamar Ben-Gvir over a flotilla-detention abuse video. Turkey hosted 501 personnel from both Libyan armies at Efes 2026; China deployed over 100 vessels around Taiwan.

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us · United States

Iran War Costs Reach US: Cyber, Oil, Jobs

The Iran war reached American homes, workplaces and military planning this week: water systems in at least 12 states were disrupted, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell to roughly 304.8 million barrels, and employers cut 23,000 jobs in July. The Pentagon then ordered industry to accelerate missile production as Patriot and THAAD inventories tightened.

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gb · United Kingdom

Britain Rations Scarce Capacity: Prisons, Water, Migration

Britain spent the week rationing prison cells, housing, enforcement officers and water. The revised prisoner-release scheme still covers PC Andrew Harper's killers; illegal-working arrests passed 17,000; five people were arrested after three nights of disorder in Thetford; and 23 million customers faced hosepipe bans before a fifth heatwave.

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fr · France

France's Climate Emergency Shapes Presidential Race

France's hottest July on record turned drought and fire into the setting for the 2027 presidential contest. Average temperature reached 24.9?C, fires burned at least 120,000 hectares and unemployment rose to 8.3 percent. Russian-linked fabrications then targeted Gabriel Attal and other candidates as debt-service costs climbed to ?64 billion.

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de · Germany

Germany's Safety Margins Shrink: Drone, Rhine, Gas

Germany's week joined security exposure to physical scarcity. An explosive drone was found beside the Leipzig/Halle runway, Russian-linked fabrications targeted September election candidates, the Rhine approached an impassable level at Kaub, gas storage hovered near 47 percent, and heat deaths for the season reached an estimated 11,900.

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ua · Ukraine

Ukraine Deep Strikes vs. Air Defense Shortage

Ukraine's offensive reach expanded while its defensive shield thinned. A Russian barrage killed 17 around Kyiv after all 28 missiles got through; Black Sea attacks cut grain exports by a third; Kyiv's 40-day drone campaign hit more than 1,700 Russian targets but failed to force talks; and Zelensky warned that up to 50,000 North Korean troops could deploy.

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tr · Turkey

Turkey Turns Regional Disorder Into Leverage

Turkey converted a week of surrounding conflict into diplomatic leverage: it joined Saudi Arabia and Pakistan in a mutual-defence pact, restricted Black Sea traffic after attacks on Turkish-owned ships, and pressed for a merchant-vessel moratorium. At home, ?zg?r ?zel's New Party deepened the opposition split as parliament prepared a conditional-amnesty framework for PKK members.

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Day in Review

All Events

Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

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us95

Iran-linked Iraqi suspect held in Brooklyn allegedly plotted to kill Ivanka Trump

Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood Al-Saadi, a 32-year-old Iraqi national arrested in Turkey on May 15 and extradited to the United States, had sworn to kill Ivanka Trump in revenge for the 2020 US drone strike that killed Iranian Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani, the New York Post reported. Federal prosecutors have charged Al-Saadi in connection with 18 attacks or attempted attacks across Europe and the United States, including the London stabbings of two Jewish victims in April and the Toronto shooting at the US consulate building in March. He is being held in isolation at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn.

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Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood Al-Saadi, a 32-year-old Iraqi national arrested in Turkey on May 15 and extradited to the United States, had sworn to kill Ivanka Trump in revenge for the 2020 US drone strike that killed Iranian Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani, the New York Post reported. Federal prosecutors have charged Al-Saadi in connection with 18 attacks or attempted attacks across Europe and the United States, including the London stabbings of two Jewish victims in April and the Toronto shooting at the US consulate building in March. He is being held in isolation at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn.

ua95

Zelenskyy refuses 'associate' EU offer as Ukrainian drones hit Sheskharis terminal and Perm chemical plant

Volodymyr Zelenskyy rejected German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's proposal for an "associate" EU membership without voting rights, insisting in a letter to EU leaders that Ukraine must enter with the full rights of any other state. Overnight, Ukrainian drones struck the Sheskharis oil terminal at Novorossiysk and the Grushovaya storage operated by Transneft, hit the tanker Chrysalis in the Black Sea, and forced Metafrax Chemical 1,700 km away in Perm -- which Kyiv says supplies components for Russian drones, rocket engines and explosives -- to halt production. The strikes coincide with an E3-Ukraine video call between Zelenskyy, Merz, Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer on reviving peace diplomacy.

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy rejected German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's proposal for an "associate" EU membership without voting rights, insisting in a letter to EU leaders that Ukraine must enter with the full rights of any other state. Overnight, Ukrainian drones struck the Sheskharis oil terminal at Novorossiysk and the Grushovaya storage operated by Transneft, hit the tanker Chrysalis in the Black Sea, and forced Metafrax Chemical 1,700 km away in Perm -- which Kyiv says supplies components for Russian drones, rocket engines and explosives -- to halt production. The strikes coincide with an E3-Ukraine video call between Zelenskyy, Merz, Emmanuel Macron and Keir Starmer on reviving peace diplomacy.

ua92

Russia strikes Naftogaz oil and gas facilities in Kharkiv and Poltava oblasts for over 24 hours

Russian forces have been conducting a large-scale attack on Naftogaz Group oil and gas facilities in Kharkiv and Poltava oblasts for more than 24 hours, causing serious damage and major fires. Naftogaz CEO Serhii Koretskyi said personnel have been evacuated and it is currently impossible to assess the aftermath due to the risk of further strikes. The attack follows a series of recent Russian strikes on Naftogaz infrastructure, including a missile strike on 19 May in Chernihiv Oblast and a combined attack on 5 May that forced the company to import additional gas.

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Russian forces have been conducting a large-scale attack on Naftogaz Group oil and gas facilities in Kharkiv and Poltava oblasts for more than 24 hours, causing serious damage and major fires. Naftogaz CEO Serhii Koretskyi said personnel have been evacuated and it is currently impossible to assess the aftermath due to the risk of further strikes. The attack follows a series of recent Russian strikes on Naftogaz infrastructure, including a missile strike on 19 May in Chernihiv Oblast and a combined attack on 5 May that forced the company to import additional gas.

us90

US intelligence chief Tulsi Gabbard resigns; Trump faces multiple domestic and foreign policy challenges

US Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard announced her resignation on Friday, citing her husband's cancer diagnosis, effective June 30. The White House posted an AI-generated video of President Donald Trump throwing comedian Stephen Colbert into a trash can after Colbert's final late-night show. Separately, a federal judge dismissed the criminal case against Salvadoran migrant Kilmar Ábrego García, calling the prosecution an abuse of prosecutorial power.

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US Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard announced her resignation on Friday, citing her husband's cancer diagnosis, effective June 30. The White House posted an AI-generated video of President Donald Trump throwing comedian Stephen Colbert into a trash can after Colbert's final late-night show. Separately, a federal judge dismissed the criminal case against Salvadoran migrant Kilmar Ábrego García, calling the prosecution an abuse of prosecutorial power.

ua90

Ukraine strikes Metafrax Chemicals plant 1,700 km inside Russia, halting production

Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) struck the AKM chemical complex of Metafrax Chemicals in Gubakha, Perm Krai, 1,700 km from the border, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on May 23. The attack halted production at the facility, which supplies dozens of Russian military production facilities including aviation, drones, rocket engines, and explosives. It is the third Ukrainian deep-strike operation against the same complex in eight months.

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Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) struck the AKM chemical complex of Metafrax Chemicals in Gubakha, Perm Krai, 1,700 km from the border, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on May 23. The attack halted production at the facility, which supplies dozens of Russian military production facilities including aviation, drones, rocket engines, and explosives. It is the third Ukrainian deep-strike operation against the same complex in eight months.

us88

Republican confidence in Trump's economy erodes as consumer sentiment hits record low

Consumer sentiment hit an all-time low in the University of Michigan's May survey, with Republicans and independents reaching a low point of Trump's second term. An AP/NORC poll found around 6 in 10 Republicans approve of Trump's handling of the economy, down from about 8 in 10 in February. The softening GOP view represents "a crack we're seeing," said Gallup senior editor Megan Brenan.

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Consumer sentiment hit an all-time low in the University of Michigan's May survey, with Republicans and independents reaching a low point of Trump's second term. An AP/NORC poll found around 6 in 10 Republicans approve of Trump's handling of the economy, down from about 8 in 10 in February. The softening GOP view represents "a crack we're seeing," said Gallup senior editor Megan Brenan.

tr88

Turkey brings both Libyan rival armies into Efes 2026 in pivot to enforce 2019 Mediterranean economic-zone deal

Turkey for the first time hosted 501 personnel from both of Libya's rival armies -- the Tripoli-based Government of National Unity and Khalifa Haftar's Benghazi-based Government of National Stability -- at its Efes 2026 international military exercises, the Turkish defence ministry said. Analysts cited by France 24 frame the joint drills as a pivot by Ankara toward the east, intended to secure Haftar's parliamentary ratification of the 2019 Turkey-Libya maritime memorandum that creates a joint exclusive economic zone over energy-rich waters opposed by Greece, Cyprus, Egypt and Israel. The ministry said it intends to hold further joint exercises with both Libyan armies.

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Turkey for the first time hosted 501 personnel from both of Libya's rival armies -- the Tripoli-based Government of National Unity and Khalifa Haftar's Benghazi-based Government of National Stability -- at its Efes 2026 international military exercises, the Turkish defence ministry said. Analysts cited by France 24 frame the joint drills as a pivot by Ankara toward the east, intended to secure Haftar's parliamentary ratification of the 2019 Turkey-Libya maritime memorandum that creates a joint exclusive economic zone over energy-rich waters opposed by Greece, Cyprus, Egypt and Israel. The ministry said it intends to hold further joint exercises with both Libyan armies.

gb86

Milburn report warns of an 'anxious generation' as nearly 1 million UK 16-24s remain out of work or study

Government jobs adviser Alan Milburn -- the former Labour health secretary commissioned in November by Prime Minister Keir Starmer -- will publish an interim report next week warning of an "anxious generation" of young people, with the share of NEETs citing mental health as the primary obstacle to work rising from 24 percent in 2011 to 43 percent today. Of the 946,000 16- to 24-year-olds not in education, employment or training, more than half have never worked, and a quarter are classed as unable to work due to long-term sickness or disability. Milburn argues businesses must adapt with mental health support and flexibility, and that the cohort could relieve labour shortages as net migration drops -- to 171,000 in 2024 from a 2022 peak of 891,000.

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Government jobs adviser Alan Milburn -- the former Labour health secretary commissioned in November by Prime Minister Keir Starmer -- will publish an interim report next week warning of an "anxious generation" of young people, with the share of NEETs citing mental health as the primary obstacle to work rising from 24 percent in 2011 to 43 percent today. Of the 946,000 16- to 24-year-olds not in education, employment or training, more than half have never worked, and a quarter are classed as unable to work due to long-term sickness or disability. Milburn argues businesses must adapt with mental health support and flexibility, and that the cohort could relieve labour shortages as net migration drops -- to 171,000 in 2024 from a 2022 peak of 891,000.

us85

Toxic chemical leak forces evacuation of over 44,000 near Los Angeles

More than 44,000 residents have been evacuated in Garden Grove, California, after a tank containing 34,000 gallons of methyl methacrylate began leaking at an aerospace manufacturing facility. The Orange County Fire Authority warned the tank could either spill toxic chemicals or explode, with a possible explosion affecting adjacent tanks. No injuries have been reported as of Friday.

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More than 44,000 residents have been evacuated in Garden Grove, California, after a tank containing 34,000 gallons of methyl methacrylate began leaking at an aerospace manufacturing facility. The Orange County Fire Authority warned the tank could either spill toxic chemicals or explode, with a possible explosion affecting adjacent tanks. No injuries have been reported as of Friday.

de85

Berlin's 'associate' EU offer rebuffed by Zelenskyy as Scholz takes Global South brief and Bundestag delegation flies to Taiwan

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy formally rejected Chancellor Friedrich Merz's proposal to make Kyiv an "associate" EU member without voting rights, telling Council President Antonio Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen that Ukraine's place "must be complete -- full and equal." Former Chancellor Olaf Scholz is expected to chair a new North-South Committee on ties with the Global South, the role agreed in the CDU-SPD coalition deal. A five-person Bundestag delegation led by Green lawmaker Till Steffen flies to Taipei on May 24 -- 31 to meet President Lai Ching-te and Taiwanese parliamentarians, with Steffen telling Beijing not to interfere.

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy formally rejected Chancellor Friedrich Merz's proposal to make Kyiv an "associate" EU member without voting rights, telling Council President Antonio Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen that Ukraine's place "must be complete -- full and equal." Former Chancellor Olaf Scholz is expected to chair a new North-South Committee on ties with the Global South, the role agreed in the CDU-SPD coalition deal. A five-person Bundestag delegation led by Green lawmaker Till Steffen flies to Taipei on May 24 -- 31 to meet President Lai Ching-te and Taiwanese parliamentarians, with Steffen telling Beijing not to interfere.